Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Round 15

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Tarxien Rainbows		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4
	1.71	3.55	4.2	Watch
	1.73	3.39	4.04
	1.74	3.57	4.27
	1.72	3.56	4.22
	1.71	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.62)	3.52 ↓ (3.78)	4.16 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarxien Rainbows
52.6%

Draw
25.7%

Lija Athletic
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

22.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarxien Rainbows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarxien Rainbows, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vella A. (G) 37. Azzopardi M. 98. Barboza C. 88. Boadu D. 21. Brincat Z. 20. Debono J. 17. Mensah G. 77. Muscat B. 5. Sant D. 19. Tabone M. (C) 6. Vella H.	12. Bonnici L. (C) 5. Azzopardi A. 7. Beu E. 83. Briffa S. 31. Jackson K. 66. Khatib O. 98. Mallia L. 8. Mifsud M. 4. Muscat L. 33. Sciberras B. 9. Winchester R.
Substitutes
7. Borg C. 11. Borg S. P. 70. Briffa K. 33. Cande B. 99. Gusman T. 95. Micallef S. (G) 18. Mizzi S. 8. Xuereb M.	99. Amhamed A. 44. Courage O. 2. Giordimaina C. 16. Joyce G. 1. Mallia J. 25. Oyeyemi A. A. 11. Ronald Makalysten 88. Xuereb J. 21. Xuereb Pavia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Debono J. ⚽,
15', Mallia L. 🟨,
45+4', Muscat L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Mallia L. ↓, Ronald Makalysten ↑,
58', Mensah G. ↓, Cande B. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Winchester R. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, Mifsud M. (Own goal),
78', Brincat Z. ↓, Gusman T. ↑,
80', Debono J. ↓, Mizzi S. ↑,
80', Azzopardi M. ↓, Xuereb M. ↑,
88', Khatib O. 🟨,
88', 3 - 1, Vella H. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 13 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tarxien won 2.

Tarxien in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lija is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tarxien is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tarxien to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tarxien won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Tarxien won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Challenge League
01.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Sirens	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Żurrieq - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Fgura United - Tarxien Rainbows	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Senglea Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWWW
- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
01.02.25	Lija Athletic - Fgura United	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Mġarr United - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	2:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
12.01.25	Lija Athletic - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:5 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
05.01.25	Lija Athletic - Sirens	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
11.02.24	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:4
30.09.23	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:0
26.08.22	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	1:2
Maltese Premier League
03.02.21	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	2:0
Club Friendly
08.08.20	Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic	0:3
Maltese Premier League
09.03.18	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:4
Maltese FA Trophy
20.01.18	Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic	1:2

Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide