Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports Golf
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	17:00	Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 1
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	ESPN 2
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 6
Haiti	15:00	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 4
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Extra 6
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South Africa	22:00	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Lille		Juventus

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.45
	2.95	3.2	2.5
	3.05	3.2	2.55	Watch
	3.13	3.22	2.56
	3.11	3.16	2.54	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.5
	3.11	3.3	2.53
	3.05	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.71)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)	2.52 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Lille
31.5%

Draw
30.2%

Juventus
38.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

31.8%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	28.8%	48.1%

Lille - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 11 - 22%). Juventus will win (votes: 25 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 36.1% – 63.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Chevalier L. (G) 2. Mandi A. 18. Diakite B. 4. Alexsandro 5. Gudmundsson G. 21. Andre B. (C) 32. Bouaddi A. 23. Zhegrova E. 8. Gomes A. 11. Sahraoui O. 9. David J.	29. Di Gregorio M. (G) 32. Cabal J. 4. Gatti F. 15. Kalulu P. 27. Cambiaso A. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 19. Thuram K. 7. Conceicao F. 8. Koopmeiners T. 10. Yildiz K. 9. Vlahovic D.
Substitutes
20. Bakker M. 39. Baret L. 27. Bayo M. 16. Caillard M. (G) 37. Costarelli M. 19. Fernandez-Pardo M. 47. Lachaab Y. 1. Mannone V. (G) 17. Mukau N.	17. Adzic V. 26. Douglas Luiz 21. Fagioli N. 51. Mbangula S. 16. McKennie W. 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 37. Savona N. 22. Weah T.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Motta T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, David J. ⚽, Zhegrova E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Gomes A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Vlahovic D. (Pen),
62', Cabal J. 🟨,
68', Thuram K. ↓, McKennie W. ↑,
68', Cabal J. ↓, Savona N. ↑,
68', Vlahovic D. ↓, Weah T. ↑,
73', Andre B. 🟨,
81', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
81', Yildiz K. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
87', Sahraoui O. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,

Preview

Lille is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Juventus is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juventus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Illness) Cabella R. (Muscle Injury) Fernandes R. (Injury) Haraldsson H. (Leg Injury) Ismaily (Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Bremer (Knee Injury) Danilo (Red Card) Gonzalez N. (Thigh Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Doping)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
01.11.24	Lille - Lyon	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Lens - Lille	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Atlético Madrid - Lille	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.24	Monaco - Lille	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Lille - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWWTW
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
02.11.24	Udinese - Juventus	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Juventus - Parma	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Inter Milan - Juventus	4:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Juventus - Stuttgart	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.10.24	Juventus - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTLW

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