Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports Golf
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 2
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV3 MAX, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	CANAL+ Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 4
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	HBO Max
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Extra 6
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Lille		Juventus

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.45
	2.95	3.2	2.5
	3.05	3.2	2.55	Watch
	3.13	3.22	2.56
	3.11	3.16	2.54	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.5
	3.11	3.3	2.53
	3.05	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.71)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)	2.52 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Lille
31.5%

Draw
30.2%

Juventus
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

31.8%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	28.8%	48.1%

Lille - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 11 - 22%). Juventus will win (votes: 25 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 36.1% – 63.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Chevalier L. (G) 2. Mandi A. 18. Diakite B. 4. Alexsandro 5. Gudmundsson G. 21. Andre B. (C) 32. Bouaddi A. 23. Zhegrova E. 8. Gomes A. 11. Sahraoui O. 9. David J.	29. Di Gregorio M. (G) 32. Cabal J. 4. Gatti F. 15. Kalulu P. 27. Cambiaso A. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 19. Thuram K. 7. Conceicao F. 8. Koopmeiners T. 10. Yildiz K. 9. Vlahovic D.
Substitutes
20. Bakker M. 39. Baret L. 27. Bayo M. 16. Caillard M. (G) 37. Costarelli M. 19. Fernandez-Pardo M. 47. Lachaab Y. 1. Mannone V. (G) 17. Mukau N.	17. Adzic V. 26. Douglas Luiz 21. Fagioli N. 51. Mbangula S. 16. McKennie W. 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 37. Savona N. 22. Weah T.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Motta T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, David J. ⚽, Zhegrova E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Gomes A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Vlahovic D. (Pen),
62', Cabal J. 🟨,
68', Thuram K. ↓, McKennie W. ↑,
68', Cabal J. ↓, Savona N. ↑,
68', Vlahovic D. ↓, Weah T. ↑,
73', Andre B. 🟨,
81', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
81', Yildiz K. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
87', Sahraoui O. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,

Preview

Lille is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Juventus is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juventus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Illness) Cabella R. (Muscle Injury) Fernandes R. (Injury) Haraldsson H. (Leg Injury) Ismaily (Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Bremer (Knee Injury) Danilo (Red Card) Gonzalez N. (Thigh Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Doping)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
01.11.24	Lille - Lyon	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Lens - Lille	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Atlético Madrid - Lille	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.24	Monaco - Lille	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Lille - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWWTW
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
02.11.24	Udinese - Juventus	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Juventus - Parma	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Inter Milan - Juventus	4:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Juventus - Stuttgart	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.10.24	Juventus - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTLW

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