Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Albania	15:00	SuperSport 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Belgium	15:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	16:00	Nova Sport
Canada	10:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	16:00	Viaplay
France	15:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	5 STARS Israel
Italy	15:00	Ligue 1+
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 5
Mexico	08:00	FOX One
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	Viaplay
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 4
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
International	14:00	OneFootball TV


	Monaco		Lille

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.50	4.00	Watch
	1.88	3.60	4.00
	1.91	3.45	3.85	Watch
	1.95	3.62	4.30
	2	3.6	3.66	Watch
	1.90	3.60	4.25
	1.94	3.56	4.07	Watch
	1.90	3.60	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.21)	3.57 ↑ (3.56)	4 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
49.5%

Draw
26.7%

Lille
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monaco's performance.

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	10.3%	3.4%

Monaco - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 25 - 86.2%). Lille will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 73.6% – 98.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hradecky L. (G) 2. Vanderson 72. Sane S. 4. Teze J. 20. Nazinho 8. Camara L. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 28. Coulibaly M. 10. Golovin A. 31. Fati A. 29. Brunner P.	1. Ozer B. (G) 3. Ngoy N. 23. Nianzou T. 4. Alexsandro 15. Perraud R. 17. Mukau N. 6. Bentaleb N. 21. Andre B. (C) 8. Mbappe E. 10. Haraldsson H. 35. Diaoune S.
Substitutes
11. Abline M. 9. Balogun F. 7. Detourbet M. 37. Diop E. 16. Kohn P. (G) 13. Mawissa C. 18. Minamino T. 22. Salisu M. 49. Toure I.	7. Bakwa D. 26. Cossier I. 12. Gill O. (G) 9. Giroud O. 38. Goffi A. 14. Kjaergaard M. 28. Perrin G. 24. Verdonk C. 33. Yondjo A.
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Ancelotti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Fati A. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
24', 0 - 1, Mbappe E. ⚽, Diaoune S. (A),
32', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
34', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Coulibaly M. ↓, Abline M. ↑,
46', Zakaria D. ↓, Diop E. ↑,
56', Detourbet M. 🟨,
63', Diaoune S. ↓, Cossier I. ↑,
66', Nianzou T. 🟥,
66', Perraud R. 🟨,
69', Mbappe E. ↓, Goffi A. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Diop E. ⚽, Teze J. (A),
80', Haraldsson H. ↓, Yondjo A. ↑,
80', Bentaleb N. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
90+1', Detourbet M. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
90+1', Vanderson 🟨,
90+2', Goffi A. 🟨,
90+4', Ozer B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase and 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 1.

Monaco has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lille has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Monaco may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Monaco is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Monaco: Dier E. (Muscle Injury) Idumbo S. (Groin Injury).

Confirmed absences for Lille: Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Ueda A. (Foot Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Monaco has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:21 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monaco against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:9 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lille	8	4	3	1	11:6	5	15
4	Monaco	8	4	3	1	11:7	4	15

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 4.28% Lille: 3.71%

Last Results with these Odds

Monaco - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.81%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Monaco - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.26	Lorient - Monaco	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	CSKA Sofia - Monaco	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Monaco - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Monaco - Pisa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTW
- OSC Lille
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Lille - Galatasaray	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.10.26	Lille - Brest	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Arsenal - Lille	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Lille - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Nice - Lille	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Monaco - Lille	0:1
24.08.25	Lille - Monaco	1:0
22.02.25	Lille - Monaco	2:1
18.10.24	Monaco - Lille	0:0
24.04.24	Monaco - Lille	1:0
29.10.23	Lille - Monaco	2:0
14.05.23	Monaco - Lille	0:0

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