Match Info

Date: 23 November 2021, Tuesday


	Lille		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.87
	2.45	3.3	2.9
	2.6	3.3	2.95
	2.49	3.25	2.95
	2.54	3.32	3.06
	2.5	3.2	3
	2.57	3.24	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.47)	3.27 ↓ (3.42)	2.97 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
38.2%

Draw
29.4%

Red Bull Salzburg
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.9%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

20.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.5%	36.8%	27.6%

Lille - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 27 - 35.5%). Salzburg will win (votes: 21 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26% – 47.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Lille has currently - 5, has a chance of 1st (19%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a chance of 3rd (37%), has a chance of round of 16 (46%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Salzburg has currently - 7, has a good chance of 1st (61%), has a chance of 2nd (22%), has a small chance of 3rd (11%), has a good chance of round of 16 (83%), has a chance of qtrs (33%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Salzburg have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
19.11.21	Monaco - Lille	2:2 ✺
06.11.21	Lille - Angers	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.11.21	Sevilla - Lille	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
29.10.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	2:1 ✺
23.10.21	Lille - Brest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWLT
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
20.11.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Admira	0:0 ✺
06.11.21	Austria Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.11.21	Wolfsburg - Red Bull Salzburg	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
30.10.21	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
27.10.21	St. Pölten - Red Bull Salzburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
29.09.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Lille	2:1

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