Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Albania	SuperSport 6
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2, Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+


	Lille		Reims

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8	Watch
	1.4	5	7.5
	1.41	4.65	7.8
	1.42	4.93	7.97
	1.41	4.81	7.57	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7
	1.45	4.94	8	Watch
	1.41	4.65	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.76 ↑ (4.48)	7.71 ↑ (6.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
67.6%

Draw
20%

Reims
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.1%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.4%	4.4%	11.1%

Lille - Reims Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lille will win (35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.06% – 94.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Chevalier L. (G) 12. Meunier T. 18. Diakite B. 4. Alexsandro 5. Gudmundsson G. 10. Cabella R. 32. Bouaddi A. 21. Andre B. (C) 7. Haraldsson H. 19. Fernandez-Pardo M. 9. David J.	94. Diouf Y. (C) 23. Buta 3. Hiroki S. 2. Okumu J. 21. Kipre C. 18. Akieme S. 7. Ito J. 24. Gbane M. 72. Kone A. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 12. Siebatcheu J.
Substitutes
24. Akpom Ch. 20. Bakker M. 16. Caillard M. (G) 8. Gomes A. 2. Mandi A. 1. Mannone V. (G) 17. Mukau N. 11. Sahraoui O. 14. Umtiti S.	22. Diakite O. 19. Gabriel Moscardo 85. Ibrahim H. 31. Jeng M. 92. Kone A. 20. Olliero A. (G) 30. Patrick J. 55. Sangui N. 87. Tia A.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Diawara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Cabella R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Buta ↓, Tia A. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Akieme S. ⚽, Gbane M. (A),
69', Ito J. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
69', Kone A. ↓, Patrick J. ↑,
70', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
72', David J. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
80', Bouaddi A. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
84', Okumu J. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Akpom Ch. (Pen),
88', Atangana Edoa V. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
89', Cabella R. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 2.

Lille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Reims has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lille is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Gomes A. (Back Injury) Ismaily (Hamstring Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Diakhon M. (Ankle Injury) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury) Nakamura K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Reims: Ito J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
10.05.25	Brest - Lille	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Lille - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Angers - Lille	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Lille - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Toulouse - Lille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWWW
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
10.05.25	Reims - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Nice - Reims	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Montpellier - Reims	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Reims - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Lens - Reims	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.08.24	Reims - Lille	0:2
02.03.24	Reims - Lille	0:1
26.09.23	Lille - Reims	1:2
06.05.23	Reims - Lille	1:0
02.01.23	Lille - Reims	1:1
20.04.22	Reims - Lille	2:1
22.09.21	Lille - Reims	2:1

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