Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Auguste-Delaune (Reims)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+


	Reims		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.25
	3.45	3.45	2.12
	3.71	3.55	2.13
	3.6	3.46	2.07	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.15
	3.66	3.75	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.45	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reims
27.4%

Draw
27.6%

Toulouse
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

27.9%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	5.9%	64.7%

Reims - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Reims will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Toulouse will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Reims (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Toulouse (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Reims (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Reims (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Toulouse (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Diouf Y. (C) 23. Buta 3. Hiroki S. 21. Kipre C. 18. Akieme S. 55. Sangui N. 7. Ito J. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 72. Kone A. 17. Nakamura K. 12. Siebatcheu J.	50. Restes G. (G) 19. Sidibe D. 4. Cresswell C. 3. McKenzie M. 15. Donnum A. 23. Casseres C. 8. Sierro V. (C) 17. Suazo G. 9. Magri F. 10. Gboho Y. 13. King J.
Substitutes
67. Diakhon M. 22. Diakite O. 19. Gabriel Moscardo 85. Ibrahim H. 31. Jeng M. 20. Olliero A. (G) 30. Patrick J. 10. Teuma T. 87. Tia A.	7. Aboukhlal Z. 6. Akdag U. 80. Babicka S. 29. Canvot J. 31. Edjouma N. 16. Haug K. (G) 12. Kamanzi W. 22. Messali R. 21. Zajc M.
Coaches
Diawara S.	Martinez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', McKenzie M. 🟥,
34', King J. ↓, Akdag U. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Siebatcheu J. ⚽, Akieme S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Sangui N. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
62', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
70', Gboho Y. ↓, Aboukhlal Z. ↑,
74', Gabriel Moscardo 🟨,
79', Kone A. ↓, Tia A. ↑,
79', Nakamura K. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
83', Buta ↓, Jeng M. ↑,
86', Donnum A. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reims won 1.

Reims is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Toulouse has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Toulouse will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Diakhon M. (Ankle Injury) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Gbane M. (Suspended) Khadra R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Toulouse: Nicolaisen R. (Calf Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Reims: Okumu J. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Reims won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23:29 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Reims won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
11.04.25	Lens - Reims	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Reims - Strasbourg	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
02.04.25	Cannes - Reims	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
29.03.25	Reims - Olympique Marseille	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Brest - Reims	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WLWWT
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
12.04.25	Toulouse - Lille	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Olympique Marseille - Toulouse	3:2 ✺
30.03.25	Toulouse - Brest	2:4 ✺
16.03.25	Strasbourg - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Toulouse - Monaco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.11.24	Toulouse - Reims	1:0
04.02.24	Reims - Toulouse	2:3
22.10.23	Toulouse - Reims	1:1
26.02.23	Reims - Toulouse	3:0
Coupe De France
08.02.23	Toulouse - Reims	3:1
French Ligue 1
11.09.22	Toulouse - Reims	1:0
14.12.19	Toulouse - Reims	0:1

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