Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 25

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Montpellier		Reims

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.4
	3	3.15	2.3	Watch
	3.19	3.39	2.33
	3.03	3.14	2.41	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.05	3.39	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	3.24 ↑ (3.18)	2.32 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
31.1%

Draw
28.7%

Reims
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

28.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Reims has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Reims aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	15.4%	46.2%

Montpellier - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Reims will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reims: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reims (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. (C) 6. Jullien C. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 77. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 18. Pays N. 44. Chennahi T. 7. Mbuku N. 8. Issoufou Y. 19. Mendy A.	29. Jaouen E. (G) 3. Sekine H. 28. Elie 22. Kotto S. 18. Akieme S. (C) 90. Benhattab Y. 86. Zabi 6. Leoni T. 17. Nakamura K. 87. Tia A. 9. Daramy M.
Substitutes
3. El Hannach N. 10. Fayad K. 1. Michel M. (G) 21. Mincarelli L. 14. Molebe E. 11. Savanier T. 28. Sishuba A.	27. Bojang A. 7. Diarra T. 8. Fofana Y. 56. Mambuku J. 20. Olliero A. (G) 5. Pallois N. 30. Patrick J.
Coaches
Camara Z.	Geraerts K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Mbuku N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Mbuku N. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
74', Tia A. ↓, Patrick J. ↑,
74', Daramy M. ↓, Bojang A. ↑,
74', Benhattab Y. ↓, Diarra T. ↑,
83', Chennahi T. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
83', Sainte-Luce T. ↓, El Hannach N. ↑,
86', Issoufou Y. ↓, Molebe E. ↑,
86', Pays N. ↓, Sishuba A. ↑,
90', Zabi ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 1.

In recent matches, Montpellier has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Reims is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Montpellier: Mahboub F. (Inactive) Mouanga Y. (Injury) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Inactive) Gbane M. (Yellow Cards) Ibrahim H. (Inactive) Okumu J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Reims: 11.89% Montpellier: 4.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15:9	6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6:5	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Reims - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.47%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
20.02.26	Rodez - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Montpellier - Le Mans	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Nice - Montpellier	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.01.26	Montpellier - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLW
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 2
21.02.26	Reims - Amiens	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Grenoble - Reims	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Reims - Bastia	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
03.02.26	Reims - Le Mans	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.01.26	Clermont - Reims	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.11.25	Reims - Montpellier	2:0
French Ligue 1
27.04.25	Montpellier - Reims	0:0
06.10.24	Reims - Montpellier	4:2
21.04.24	Reims - Montpellier	1:2
27.08.23	Montpellier - Reims	1:3
03.06.23	Reims - Montpellier	1:3
13.11.22	Montpellier - Reims	1:1

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