The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lillestrøm SK 48.8%
Draw 26.7%
Sandefjord 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
23.1%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.2%
22.9%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Sandefjord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lillestrøm SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Sandefjord (3.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Sandefjord (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lillestrøm SK will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sandefjord (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Dahlberg P. (G) 2. Ranger L. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 5. Foss S. 3. Ottesen S. 6. Woxen H. 15. Drammeh S. 8. Karlsbakk M. 14. Nyheim G. 20. Felix Va 19. Jebara C.
30. Hadaya E. (G) 4. Pedersen F. 2. Smajlovic Z. 44. Lambrix X. 3. Egeli V. 6. Mork S. (C) 19. Berntsen B. 14. Pettersen E. 20. Melchior M. 10. Alte R. 11. Moller N.
Substitutes
7. Alperud L. 9. Arierhi K. 11. Elkaer F. 4. Garnas E. B. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 22. Kitolano J. 18. Krygard K. 26. Paintsil Y. 27. Waehler M.
17. Apetorgbor F. 8. Dzabic R. 1. Gronneberg A. (G) 29. Halvorsen K. 5. Hojbjerg G. 47. Kristiansen S. 24. Mathisen S. 7. Patoulidis E. 37. Vester J.
Coaches
Odegaard H.
Tegstrom A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Ranger L. ⚽,
30', Melchior M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Moller N. ⚽,
60', Pettersen E. ↓, Vester J. ↑,
61', Moller N. ↓, Mathisen S. ↑,
61', Berntsen B. ↓, Patoulidis E. ↑,
62', Smajlovic Z. 🟨,
70', Nyheim G. 🟨,
78', Jebara C. ↓, Elkaer F. ↑,
78', Ottesen S. ↓, Alperud L. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Nyheim G. ⚽,
87', Smajlovic Z. 🟨,
88', Nyheim G. ↓, Krygard K. ↑,
88', Drammeh S. ↓, Paintsil Y. ↑,
90', Alte R. ↓, Kristiansen S. ↑,
90', Melchior M. ↓, Dzabic R. ↑,
90', Woxen H. ↓, Garnas E. B. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Alperud L. ⚽, Felix Va (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 1.
Lillestrøm has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sandefjord is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Lillestrøm is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Lillestrøm: Ibrahimaj Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Kitolano E.
(Broken Leg)
Waehler M.
(Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Sandefjord: Dunsby J.
(Thigh Injury)
Krogelien H.
(Injury)
Loftesnes-Bjune F.
(Thigh Injury)
Swift J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Krygard K.
(Injury)
Olsen T.
(Leg Injury)
Paintsil Y.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sandefjord: Vester J.
(Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 2.1:1.5).