Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Lillestrøm SK		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.75
	1.44	4.4	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6.8
	1.44	4.88	7.53
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.45	4.65	6.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 (1.42)	4.55 ↑ (4.31)	7.14 ↓ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
66.1%

Draw
20.7%

Jerv
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

21.7%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

20.9%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Lillestrøm SK - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lillestrøm has the most likely position - 6 (10.27%), has project points - 43, has currently - 1, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Jerv has the most likely position - 16 (18.65%), has project points - 29, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 24, small importance 30, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Lillestrøm is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lillestrøm won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.04.22	Hamarkameratene - Lillestrøm SK	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK	2:2
Norwegian NM Cup
20.03.22	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	4:1 ✺
13.03.22	Nardo - Lillestrøm SK	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
04.03.22	Fredrikstad - Lillestrøm SK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLWT
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.04.22	Jerv - Strømsgodset	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.22	Bryne - Jerv	1:2 ✺
03.03.22	Linense - Jerv	2:1 ✺
25.02.22	Sandnes Ulf - Jerv	2:0 ✺
18.02.22	Odd - Jerv	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.11.20	Lillestrøm SK - Jerv	1:0
31.07.20	Jerv - Lillestrøm SK	2:2
Club Friendly
15.06.20	Lillestrøm SK - Jerv	3:0

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