Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Linares Deportivo		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.98	2.92
	2.35	2.92	3.37
	2.32	2.86	3.25
	2.32	2.9	3.09
	2.33	2.83	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.13)	2.9 ↓ (3)	3.18 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
39.4%

Draw
31.7%

Xerez Deportivo
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Linares Deportivo - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Morante D. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Menudo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 2, Gandoy Y. ⚽,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Linares will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Linares won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Linares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.12.25	CD Extremadura - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Antoniano - Linares Deportivo	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Linares Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Real Jaén - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TWWTW
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.12.25	Xerez Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Estepona - Xerez Deportivo	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Melilla - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.03.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez Deportivo	4:0
20.10.24	Xerez Deportivo - Linares Deportivo	1:1

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