Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 3 January 2024, Wednesday


	Linares Deportivo		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	5	Watch
	1.63	3.4	4.6
	1.68	3.5	5	Watch
	1.74	3.56	4.75
	1.75	3.56	4.75
	1.6	3.3	4.6
	1.72	3.44	4.93
	1.7	3.15	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.29)	3.41 ↑ (2.88)	4.85 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
54.3%

Draw
26.8%

Atlético Baleares
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

30.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Linares Deportivo's performance.

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Baleares might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linares Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Baleares could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Linares Deportivo - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Linares will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Baleares will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 18. Perejon D. 5. Rentero J. 4. Molina M. 3. Varela F. 15. Duarte J. 8. Rodri 11. Berlanga M. 6. Moreno A. 21. Llorente R. 7. Diaz H.	1. Vila R. (G) 14. Navarro D. 22. Ofoli F. 15. Juanra 23. Ferroni L. 17. Alarcon R. 21. Nana 6. Villapalos A. 19. Shashoua A. 10. Pastrana V. 9. Jimenez Xisco
Substitutes
2. Bonnin T. 30. Carrillo M. 14. Corral S. 1. Juskevicius E. (G) 12. Marin A. 19. Ortuno F. 27. Oyon A. 28. Suarez L. 20. Sutherland T. 29. Zaki	12. Gonzalez R. 5. Jaume J. 13. Lario J. (G) 2. Loren 30. Ortega D. 29. Piera J. 11. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 4. Sierra J.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Linares has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlético Baleares is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Linares is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Linares won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Linares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.23	Melilla - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Linares Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Linares Deportivo - Elche	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.12.23	Castellón - Linares Deportivo	4:1 ✺
26.11.23	Linares Deportivo - Intercity	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.23	Atlético Baleares - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	San Fernando - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Atlético Baleares - Alcoyano	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Granada B - Atlético Baleares	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Castellón - Atlético Baleares	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.01.22	Linares Deportivo - Atlético Baleares	2:0
10.10.21	Atlético Baleares - Linares Deportivo	1:1

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