Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Lipno Stęszew		Luzino

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.95	1.5
	5.11	3.86	1.52
	5.05	4.19	1.52	Watch
	5	3.6	1.53
	5.44	3.92	1.51	Watch
	3.51	3.69	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (3.51)	3.87 ↑ (3.69)	1.55 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
18.5%

Draw
23.3%

Luzino
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

24%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

22.1%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lipno Stęszew's form might have worsened.

Luzino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luzino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzino than the current prediction. (-3%)

Lipno Stęszew - Luzino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Krefft J. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Sosnowski F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 0 - 3, Konkol D. ⚽,
61', 0 - 4, Krefft J. ⚽,
72', 0 - 5, Sosnowski F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Lipno Stęszew is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Luzino is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Luzino is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lipno Stęszew won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luzino	11	8	1	2	31:13	18	25
18	Lipno Steszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.05.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Lipno Stęszew	0:3 ✺
09.05.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Lipno Stęszew - Noteć Czarnków	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Lipno Stęszew	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWW
- KTS-K Luzino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.05.26	Luzino - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Września - Luzino	0:1 ✺
30.04.26	Luzino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	4:3 ✺
25.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Luzino	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Luzino - Elana Toruń	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.25	Luzino - Lipno Stęszew	1:2

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