Match Info

Premier League - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Anfield (Liverpool)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Liverpool		Brentford

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	4
	1.82	4.2	3.75
	1.82	4.15	4
	1.85	4.3	4.15
	1.88	3.89	3.93	Watch
	1.75	3.9	4
	1.8	4.1	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.6)	4.08 ↓ (4.54)	4.02 ↓ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
52.7%

Draw
23.5%

Brentford
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

21.7%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.1%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liverpool's form might have worsened.

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brentford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	5%	10%

Liverpool - Brentford Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Liverpool (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 50%). Brentford (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 17. Jones C. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 26. Robertson A. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 8. Szoboszlai D. 73. Ngumoha R. 18. Gakpo C.	1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 4. van den Berg S. 22. Collins N. (C) 23. Lewis-Potter K. 6. Henderson J. 27. Janelt V. 19. Ouattara Da. 8. Jensen M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.
Substitutes
14. Chiesa F. 3. Endo W. 30. Frimpong J. 2. Gomez J. 9. Isak A. 6. Kerkez M. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 42. Nyoni T. 7. Wirtz F.	20. Ajer K. 24. Damsgaard M. 10. Dasilva J. 45. Donovan R. 47. Furo K. 2. Hickey A. 11. Nelson R. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G)
Coaches
Slot A.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Jones C. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
60', Henderson J. ↓, Hickey A. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Schade K. ⚽,
73', Ngumoha R. ↓, Wirtz F. ↑,
74', Salah M. ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,
78', Henderson J. 🟨,
79', Konate I. 🟨,
83', Gravenberch R. ↓, Nyoni T. ↑,
83', Robertson A. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
83', Jensen M. ↓, Damsgaard M. ↑,
89', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Nelson R. ↑,
89', Konate I. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
90+2', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
90+4', Janelt V. 🟨,
90+5', Collins N. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Brentford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Liverpool is the team to beat.

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Endo W. (Foot Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Henry R. (Muscle Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Frimpong J. (Injury) Isak A. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 2.3:0).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Liverpool: 4.99% Brentford: 0.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Brentford	6	2	4	0	12:6	6	10
9	Liverpool	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
15.05.26	Aston Villa - Liverpool	4:2 ✺
09.05.26	Liverpool - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Manchester United - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Liverpool - Crystal Palace	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Everton - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWW
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
17.05.26	Brentford - Crystal Palace	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Manchester City - Brentford	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Brentford - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
27.04.26	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Brentford - Fulham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
25.10.25	Brentford - Liverpool	3:2
18.01.25	Brentford - Liverpool	0:2
25.08.24	Liverpool - Brentford	2:0
17.02.24	Brentford - Liverpool	1:4
12.11.23	Liverpool - Brentford	3:0
06.05.23	Liverpool - Brentford	1:0
02.01.23	Brentford - Liverpool	3:1

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