Match Info

Premier League - Round 34

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Manchester United		Brentford

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.6
	1.88	3.8	3.75
	2.05	3.65	3.55
	2.05	3.8	3.76
	2	3.94	3.61	Watch
	2	3.75	3.25
	1.94	3.85	3.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.84)	3.79 ↓ (3.98)	3.64 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
48.4%

Draw
25.3%

Brentford
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

23.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.6%	4.1%	8.3%

Manchester United - Brentford Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Man Utd (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Man Utd (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Brentford (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (102 of 114 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.84% – 95.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Brentford (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lammens S. (G) 2. Dalot D. 5. Maguire H. 26. Heaven A. 23. Shaw L. 18. Casemiro 37. Mainoo K. 19. Mbeumo B. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 16. Diallo A. 30. Sesko B.	1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 4. van den Berg S. 22. Collins N. (C) 23. Lewis-Potter K. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 8. Jensen M. 19. Ouattara Da. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.
Substitutes
1. Bayindir A. (G) 13. Dorgu P. 61. Lacey S. 12. Malacia T. 3. Mazraoui N. 7. Mount M. 25. Ugarte M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.	20. Ajer K. 10. Dasilva J. 45. Donovan R. 47. Furo K. 2. Hickey A. 11. Nelson R. 5. Pinnock E. 49. Shield O. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G)
Coaches
Carrick M.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Shaw L. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Casemiro ⚽, Maguire H. (A),
40', van den Berg S. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diallo A. ↓, Mazraoui N. ↑,
71', Ouattara Da. 🟨,
73', Schade K. ↓, Nelson R. ↑,
73', Shaw L. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
74', Mbeumo B. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
76', Thiago I. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Jensen M. ⚽, Nelson R. (A),
88', Sesko B. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
90+2', Zirkzee J. 🟨,
90+6', Collins N. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Brentford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Man Utd is the team to beat.

There will not play in Man Utd: Dorgu P. (Hamstring Injury) Yoro L. (Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Furo K. (Groin Injury) Henderson J. (Knock) Henry R. (Muscle Injury) Janelt V. (Foot Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Mbeumo B. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brentford: 1.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10:4	6	9
12	Manchester Utd	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5

Last Results with these Odds

Manchester United - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 52.17%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
18.04.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Bournemouth - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Manchester United - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
04.03.26	Newcastle United - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTWL
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
18.04.26	Brentford - Fulham	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Brentford - Everton	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Leeds United - Brentford	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
09.03.26	West Ham United - Brentford	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
27.09.25	Brentford - Manchester United	3:1
04.05.25	Brentford - Manchester United	4:3
19.10.24	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1
30.03.24	Brentford - Manchester United	1:1
07.10.23	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1
05.04.23	Manchester United - Brentford	1:0
13.08.22	Brentford - Manchester United	4:0

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