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Manchester City - Brentford

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 36
  • Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • CountryKick-OffTV Channels
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    Manchester City Brentford
    Manchester City Brentford
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 1.36 5.5 7
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.37 ↑
    (1.33)    		 5.49 ↓
    (5.66)    		 7.47 ↓
    (8.21)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

    • The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Manchester City
    69.7%    		Draw
    17.4%    		Brentford
    12.8%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    71.6% 16.8% 11.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    74.4% 15.1% 10.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    86.5% 10.8% 2.7%

    Manchester City - Brentford Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Man City (2.01) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (63 of 73 users predict this - 86.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.41% โ€“ 94.19%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Brentford (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    25. ItalyDonnarumma G. (G)
    27. PortugalNunes M.
    15. EnglandGuehi M.
      6. NetherlandsAke N.
    33. EnglandO'Reilly N.
      4. NetherlandsReijnders T.
    20. PortugalSilva B. (C)
    42. GhanaSemenyo A.
    10. FranceCherki R.
    11. BelgiumDoku J.
      9. NorwayHaaland E.
    		  1. IrelandKelleher C. (G)
    33. ItalyKayode M.
    20. NorwayAjer K.
    22. IrelandCollins N. (C)
    23. EnglandLewis-Potter K.
    18. UkraineYarmolyuk Y.
      8. DenmarkJensen M.
      2. ScotlandHickey A.
    24. DenmarkDamsgaard M.
      9. BrazilThiago I.
      7. GermanySchade K.
    Substitutes
    21. AlgeriaAit-Nouri R.
      3. PortugalDias R.
    47. EnglandFoden P.
      8. CroatiaKovacic M.
      7. EgyptMarmoush O.
    14. SpainNico
    26. BrazilSavinho
      5. EnglandStones J.
      1. EnglandTrafford J. (G)
    		10. EnglandDasilva J.
    47. BelgiumFuro K.
      6. EnglandHenderson J.
    27. GermanyJanelt V.
    11. EnglandNelson R.
    19. BurkinaOuattara Da.
      5. JamaicaPinnock E.
    12. IcelandValdimarsson H. R. (G)
      4. Netherlandsvan den Berg S.
    Coaches
         SpainGuardiola P.
    		     IrelandAndrews K.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 36', Silva B. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
    • 60', Reijnders T. ↓, Foden P. ↑,
    • 60', Cherki R. ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
    • 60', 1 - 0, Doku J. ⚽,
    • 62', Hickey A. ↓, Janelt V. ↑,
    • 69', Damsgaard M. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
    • 74', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
    • 75', 2 - 0, Haaland E. ⚽,
    • 79', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
    • 80', Ajer K. 🟨,
    • 88', Henderson J. 🟨,
    • 88', Nunes M. 🟨,
    • 90+1', Doku J. ↓, Savinho ↑,
    • 90+2', 3 - 0, Marmoush O. ⚽, Haaland E. (A),
    • 90+5', Marmoush O. 🟨,

    Preview

  • One of todayโ€™s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )).
  • Man City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 4.
  • Man City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Brentford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 1).
  • In this match, Man City is the clear favorite.
  • We predict that Man City will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Man City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manchester City870120:91121
    6Brentford825114:9511

    Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Manchester City: 15.11% Brentford: 0.46%
    Last Results with these Odds

    Manchester City - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 71.64%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Manchester City
    English Premier League
    04.05.26 Everton - Manchester City 3:3 ✺
    English FA Cup
    25.04.26 Manchester City - Southampton 2:1 ✺
    English Premier League
    22.04.26 Burnley - Manchester City 0:1 ✺
    19.04.26 Manchester City - Arsenal 2:1 ✺
    12.04.26 Chelsea - Manchester City 0:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9
    TWWWW
    - Brentford FC
    English Premier League
    02.05.26 Brentford - West Ham United 3:0 ✺
    27.04.26 Manchester United - Brentford 2:1 ✺
    18.04.26 Brentford - Fulham 0:0 ✺
    11.04.26 Brentford - Everton 2:2 ✺
    21.03.26 Leeds United - Brentford 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4
    WLTTT
    Latest Head to Head
    English League Cup
    17.12.25 Manchester City - Brentford 2:0
    English Premier League
    05.10.25 Brentford - Manchester City 0:1
    14.01.25 Brentford - Manchester City 2:2
    14.09.24 Manchester City - Brentford 2:1
    20.02.24 Manchester City - Brentford 1:0
    05.02.24 Brentford - Manchester City 1:3
    28.05.23 Brentford - Manchester City 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Manchester City
    UEFA Champions League
    04.11.26 RB Leipzig - Manchester City ✺
    English Premier League
    31.10.26 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion ✺
    - Brentford FC
    English Premier League
    31.10.26 Brentford - Nottingham Forest ✺

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