Match Info

Premier League - Round 36

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Manchester City		Brentford

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7
	1.37	5.7	7.4
	1.38	5.75	8.25
	1.42	5.37	7.05	Watch
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.38	5.64	7.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)	5.49 ↓ (5.66)	7.47 ↓ (8.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
69.7%

Draw
17.4%

Brentford
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

16.8%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

16.2%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	10.8%	2.7%

Manchester City - Brentford Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Man City (2.01) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (63 of 73 users predict this - 86.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.41% – 94.19%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Brentford (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 15. Guehi M. 6. Ake N. 33. O'Reilly N. 4. Reijnders T. 20. Silva B. (C) 42. Semenyo A. 10. Cherki R. 11. Doku J. 9. Haaland E.	1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 20. Ajer K. 22. Collins N. (C) 23. Lewis-Potter K. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 8. Jensen M. 2. Hickey A. 24. Damsgaard M. 9. Thiago I. 7. Schade K.
Substitutes
21. Ait-Nouri R. 3. Dias R. 47. Foden P. 8. Kovacic M. 7. Marmoush O. 14. Nico 26. Savinho 5. Stones J. 1. Trafford J. (G)	10. Dasilva J. 47. Furo K. 6. Henderson J. 27. Janelt V. 11. Nelson R. 19. Ouattara Da. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 4. van den Berg S.
Coaches
Guardiola P.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Silva B. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', Reijnders T. ↓, Foden P. ↑,
60', Cherki R. ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Doku J. ⚽,
62', Hickey A. ↓, Janelt V. ↑,
69', Damsgaard M. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
74', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Haaland E. ⚽,
79', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
80', Ajer K. 🟨,
88', Henderson J. 🟨,
88', Nunes M. 🟨,
90+1', Doku J. ↓, Savinho ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Marmoush O. ⚽, Haaland E. (A),
90+5', Marmoush O. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )).

Man City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 4.

Man City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brentford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Man City is the clear favorite.

We predict that Man City will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Man City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Manchester City: 17.65% Brentford: 1.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13:5	8	15
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10:4	6	9

Last Results with these Odds

Manchester City - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 71.64%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English Premier League
04.05.26	Everton - Manchester City	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
25.04.26	Manchester City - Southampton	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
22.04.26	Burnley - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Manchester City - Arsenal	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Chelsea - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWWW
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
02.05.26	Brentford - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
27.04.26	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Brentford - Fulham	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Brentford - Everton	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Leeds United - Brentford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
17.12.25	Manchester City - Brentford	2:0
English Premier League
05.10.25	Brentford - Manchester City	0:1
14.01.25	Brentford - Manchester City	2:2
14.09.24	Manchester City - Brentford	2:1
20.02.24	Manchester City - Brentford	1:0
05.02.24	Brentford - Manchester City	1:3
28.05.23	Brentford - Manchester City	1:0

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