Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Manchester United		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.75	2.8
	2.2	3.9	2.85
	2.42	3.7	2.8
	2.45	3.76	2.92
	2.47	3.78	2.77	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.8
	2.28	3.82	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.37)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	2.85 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
40.8%

Draw
25.6%

Liverpool
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

24.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Manchester United aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.2%	57.6%	18.2%

Manchester United - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). Liverpool will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 57.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.7% – 74.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Man Utd (1.77) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 2 - 50%). Liverpool (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lammens S. (G) 2. Dalot D. 5. Maguire H. 26. Heaven A. 23. Shaw L. 18. Casemiro 37. Mainoo K. 19. Mbeumo B. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 10. Cunha M. 30. Sesko B.	28. Woodman F. (G) 17. Jones C. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 26. Robertson A. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 30. Frimpong J. 18. Gakpo C. 8. Szoboszlai D. 7. Wirtz F.
Substitutes
1. Bayindir A. (G) 16. Diallo A. 13. Dorgu P. 12. Malacia T. 3. Mazraoui N. 7. Mount M. 25. Ugarte M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.	14. Chiesa F. 2. Gomez J. 6. Kerkez M. 68. Morrison K. 75. Ndiaye T. 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 41. Pecsi A. (G) 79. Wright W.
Coaches
Carrick M.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cunha M. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sesko B. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Szoboszlai D. ⚽,
49', Shaw L. 🟨,
56', 2 - 2, Gakpo C. ⚽, Szoboszlai D. (A),
59', Robertson A. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
75', Jones C. 🟨,
75', Frimpong J. ↓, Ngumoha R. ↑,
75', Mbeumo B. ↓, Dorgu P. ↑,
77', 3 - 2, Mainoo K. ⚽,
81', Fernandes B. 🟨,
85', Gakpo C. 🟨,
87', Cunha M. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
87', Konate I. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
90+6', Fernandes B. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 1.

Man Utd is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Liverpool has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Liverpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Red Card) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Endo W. (Foot Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Mamardashvili G. (Injury) Salah M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Shaw L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Alisson (Muscle Injury) Kerkez M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:47. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1.6:2.3).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Liverpool: 6.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7:4	3	9
12	Manchester Utd	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
27.04.26	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Bournemouth - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Manchester United - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLTW
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
25.04.26	Liverpool - Crystal Palace	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Everton - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.04.26	Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
11.04.26	Liverpool - Fulham	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Liverpool	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
19.10.25	Liverpool - Manchester United	1:2
05.01.25	Liverpool - Manchester United	2:2
01.09.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	0:3
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	0:3
English Premier League
07.04.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	2:2
English FA Cup
17.03.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	4:3 ET
English Premier League
17.12.23	Liverpool - Manchester United	0:0

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