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Liverpool - Chelsea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 36
  • Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Anfield (Liverpool)
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Liverpool Chelsea
    Liverpool Chelsea
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 1.9 3.75 3.8
    betsson 1.95 3.8 3.8
    Bet_in_Asia 1.93 3.91 4.01
    GGBet 2.01 3.93 3.6 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 1.85 3.6 3.75
    BetNow 1.96 3.91 4.03 Watch and Bet Watch
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.93 ↑
    (1.93)    		 3.82 ↓
    (3.91)    		 3.83 ↑
    (3.65)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Liverpool
    49.7%    		Draw
    25.2%    		Chelsea
    25.1%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    49.5% 24.4% 26.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    49.7% 24.3% 26.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Liverpool aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    87.8% 9.8% 2.4%

    Liverpool - Chelsea Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (72 of 81 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.05% – 95.73%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    25. GeorgiaMamardashvili G. (G)
    17. EnglandJones C.
      5. FranceKonate I.
      4. Netherlandsvan Dijk V. (C)
      6. HungaryKerkez M.
    38. NetherlandsGravenberch R.
    10. ArgentinaMac Allister A.
    30. NetherlandsFrimpong J.
      8. HungarySzoboszlai D.
    73. EnglandNgumoha R.
    18. NetherlandsGakpo C.
    		12. DenmarkJorgensen F. (G)
    27. FranceGusto M.
    29. FranceFofana W.
      6. EnglandColwill L.
    21. NetherlandsHato J.
    17. BrazilAndrey Santos
    25. EcuadorCaicedo M.
    10. EnglandPalmer C.
      8. ArgentinaFernandez E. (C)
      3. SpainCucurella M.
    20. BrazilJoao Pedro
    Substitutes
    14. ItalyChiesa F.
      2. EnglandGomez J.
      9. SwedenIsak A.
    68. NorthernMorrison K.
    75. SenegalNdiaye T.
    42. EnglandNyoni T.
    26. ScotlandRobertson A.
    28. EnglandWoodman F. (G)
    79. EnglandWright W.
    		34. EnglandAcheampong J.
      4. EnglandAdarabioyo T.
    23. EnglandChalobah T.
      9. EnglandDelap L.
    72. EnglandEboue M.
    24. EnglandJames R.
    76. EnglandKavuma McQueen R.
    45. BelgiumLavia R.
    44. USASlonina G. (G)
    Coaches
         NetherlandsSlot A.
    		     EnglandMcFarlane C.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 1)
    • 6', 1 - 0, Gravenberch R. ⚽, Ngumoha R. (A),
    • 35', 1 - 1, Fernandez E. ⚽,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 63', Andrey Santos ↓, James R. ↑,
    • 67', Ngumoha R. ↓, Isak A. ↑,
    • 67', Hato J. 🟨,
    • 71', McFarlane C. 🟨,
    • 73', Fernandez E. 🟨,
    • 77', Konate I. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
    • 77', Gakpo C. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
    • 83', Cucurella M. 🟨,
    • 88', Gomez J. 🟨,
    • 89', Caicedo M. 🟨,
    • 90+4', Mac Allister A. 🟨,

    Preview

  • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 3.
  • Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Chelsea is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Recently, Chelsea has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Liverpool is seen as the favorite.
  • There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Endo W. (Foot Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Salah M. (Thigh Injury)
  • There will not play in Chelsea: Derry J. (Concussion) Estêvão (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Sanchez R. (Concussion)
  • There are questionable in Liverpool: Alisson (Muscle Injury) Isak A. (Muscle Injury) Mamardashvili G. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Chelsea: Garnacho A. (Inactive) Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) Neto P. (Inactive)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).

    • Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Liverpool: 7.96% Chelsea: 5.71%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    6Liverpool52307:439
    10Chelsea521210:12-27

    Last Results with these Odds

    Liverpool - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 49.47%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Liverpool FC
    English Premier League
    03.05.26 Manchester United - Liverpool 3:2 ✺
    25.04.26 Liverpool - Crystal Palace 3:1 ✺
    19.04.26 Everton - Liverpool 1:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    14.04.26 Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2 ✺
    English Premier League
    11.04.26 Liverpool - Fulham 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2
    LWWLW
    - Chelsea
    English Premier League
    04.05.26 Chelsea - Nottingham Forest 1:3 ✺
    English FA Cup
    26.04.26 Chelsea - Leeds United 1:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    21.04.26 Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea 3:0 ✺
    18.04.26 Chelsea - Manchester United 0:1 ✺
    12.04.26 Chelsea - Manchester City 0:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7
    LWLLL
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    04.10.25 Chelsea - Liverpool 2:1
    04.05.25 Chelsea - Liverpool 3:1
    20.10.24 Liverpool - Chelsea 2:1
    English League Cup
    25.02.24 Chelsea - Liverpool 0:1 ET
    English Premier League
    31.01.24 Liverpool - Chelsea 4:1
    13.08.23 Chelsea - Liverpool 1:1
    04.04.23 Chelsea - Liverpool 0:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Liverpool FC
    English Premier League
    17.10.26 Brentford - Liverpool ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 LASK Linz - Liverpool ✺
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Liverpool - Manchester City ✺
    - Chelsea
    English Premier League
    17.10.26 Everton - Chelsea ✺
    10.10.26 Chelsea - Bournemouth ✺

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