Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Anfield (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Andorra	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Belarus	23:00	Sport TV
Bolivia	16:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	03:00	MyTV
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Ecuador	15:00	ESPN
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	22:00	Action 24
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 4
Italy	21:00	Como TV
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	04:00	SKY NET Sports 3
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Paraguay	17:00	ESPN
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	04:00	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League
Tajikistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkmenistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, ITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	Paramount+
Uzbekistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Liverpool		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.65	Watch
	2.30	3.75	2.85
	2.45	3.45	2.72	Watch
	2.55	3.59	2.78
	2.66	3.64	2.56	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.75
	2.36	3.65	2.91	Watch
	2.44	3.6	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.72)	3.59 ↓ (3.69)	2.73 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
38.6%

Draw
26.5%

Chelsea
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.6%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

25.8%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Liverpool - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Chelsea will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Chelsea (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Chelsea (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.44) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

1X2 - Liverpool (2.90) (votes: 82%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 25%). Chelsea (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 2. Gomez J. 33. Araujo R. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 21. Tsimikas K. 38. Gravenberch R. 42. Nyoni T. 67. Koumas L. 53. McConnell J. 73. Ngumoha R. 18. Gakpo C.	39. Penders M. (G) 34. Acheampong J. 5. Lacroix M. 3. Fofana W. 27. Gusto M. 25. Caicedo M. (C) 45. Lavia R. 7. Neto P. 14. Henderson J. 17. Rogers M. 18. Welbeck D.
Substitutes
1. Alisson (G) 29. Barcola B. 44. Chambers L. 14. Chiesa F. 3. Endo W. 9. Isak A. 5. Jacquet J. 10. Mac Allister A. 7. Wirtz F.	4. Barco V. 6. Colwill L. 22. Emegha E. 41. Estêvão 32. Nicoll-Jazuli M. 2. Palestra M. 23. Quenda G. 28. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 37. Subuloye O.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Koumas L. 🟨,
21', McConnell J. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Rogers M. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 1, Gakpo C. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Lacroix M. ↓, Colwill L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Acheampong J. 🟨,
59', Koumas L. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
59', McConnell J. ↓, Wirtz F. ↑,
68', Welbeck D. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
68', Gusto M. ↓, Palestra M. ↑,
68', Caicedo M. ↓, Barco V. ↑,
72', van Dijk V. ↓, Jacquet J. ↑,
73', Lavia R. 🟨,
81', Nyoni T. ↓, Mac Allister A. ↑,
82', Ngumoha R. ↓, Isak A. ↑,
Penalties (6 - 5)
1, Mac Allister A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Neto P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Isak A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Rogers M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gakpo C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lavia R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Wirtz F. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Barco V. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Tsimikas K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Henderson J. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Barcola B. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Colwill L. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Gravenberch R. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Emegha E. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Gomez J. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Fofana W. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.

Liverpool is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Chelsea have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Liverpool may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Liverpool holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Liverpool: Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Frimpong J. (Muscle Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Nallo A. (Leg Injury).

Confirmed absences for Chelsea: James R. (Knee Injury) Joao Pedro (Thigh Injury) Martinez E. (Broken jawbone) Palmer C. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for Liverpool: Munoz V. (Knee Injury) Szoboszlai D. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Chelsea: Chavarria P. (Injury) Gittens J. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:21 (averaging 1.5:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liverpool against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:10 goals (averaging 2:1.1 per game).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Liverpool: 28.09%

Last Results with these Odds

Chelsea - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.68%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
25.10.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Liverpool - Villarreal	4:3 ✺
English Premier League
17.10.26	Brentford - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	LASK Linz - Liverpool	3:6 ✺
English Premier League
11.10.26	Liverpool - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- Chelsea
English Premier League
24.10.26	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Everton - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Chelsea - Bournemouth	5:1 ✺
18.09.26	Brentford - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Chelsea - Hull City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
09.05.26	Liverpool - Chelsea	1:1
04.10.25	Chelsea - Liverpool	2:1
04.05.25	Chelsea - Liverpool	3:1
20.10.24	Liverpool - Chelsea	2:1
English League Cup
25.02.24	Chelsea - Liverpool	0:1 ET
English Premier League
31.01.24	Liverpool - Chelsea	4:1
13.08.23	Chelsea - Liverpool	1:1

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