Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: SERIE RIO DE LA PLATA

Date: 22 January 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)


	Liverpool Montevideo		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.25	3.02	2.18
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.19	3.13	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.5)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.18 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
29.4%

Draw
29%

Colo-Colo
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liverpool Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colo-Colo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colo-Colo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Liverpool Montevideo - Colo Colo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lentinelly S. (G) 24. Amaro K. 8. Barrios M. 18. Cayetano A. 7. Lemos L. 10. Machado R. 11. Ocampo M. 2. Rodriguez I. 6. Samudio M. 23. Vazquez A. 20. Vergara H.	1. Cortes B. (G) 11. Bolados M. 7. Carlos Palacios 37. Falcon M. 5. Gil L. 16. Opazo Lara O. 10. Parra P. 8. Pavez E. 4. Saldivia A. 21. Wiemberg E. 27. Zavala C.
Substitutes
32. Bregante F. 13. Ferrer G. 3. Fraga L. 17. Franco N. 26. Graces B. 12. Hornos Garcia R. M. (G) 27. Lopez Y. 29. Paz B. 5. Silva M. 16. Soria N. 31. Wasilewsky L.	15. Amor E. 44. Ballesteros J. (G) 6. Fuentes C. 23. Gonzalez R. 13. Gutierrez B. 19. Lezcano D. 26. Moya M. 14. Plaza D. 18. Soto B. 28. Soto L. 29. Yanez F.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Colo-Colo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Liverpool have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Serie Rio de la Plata
18.01.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires	3:2 ✺
13.01.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.12.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
13.12.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0 ✺
09.12.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTWWL
- Colo-Colo
Serie Rio de la Plata
19.01.24	Nacional Montevideo - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
16.01.24	Colo-Colo - Rosario Central	1:0 penalties ✺
Chilean Cup
13.12.23	Deportes Magallanes - Colo-Colo	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.12.23	Curicó Unido - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Colo-Colo - Unión Española	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WWWWL

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