Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: SERIE RIO DE LA PLATA

Date: 19 January 2024, Friday

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)


	Nacional Montevideo		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.53	3.12	2.66
	2.2	3.1	2.88
	2.18	3.3	3.22	Watch
	2.21	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.88)	3.16 ↓ (3.4)	2.97 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
40.5%

Draw
28.8%

Colo-Colo
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

27.3%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

26.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colo-Colo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colo-Colo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Nacional Montevideo - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Machado F. (G) 16. Alberti J. 28. De Leon F. 7. Galeano A. 4. Haller R. 31. Helguera T. 30. Inverso L. 8. Oliva C. 35. Ramos N. 66. Recoba J. 26. Sanabria L.	1. Cortes B. (G) 11. Bolados M. 7. Carlos Palacios 37. Falcon M. 6. Fuentes C. 5. Gil L. 16. Opazo Lara O. 10. Parra P. 8. Pavez E. 4. Saldivia A. 21. Wiemberg E.
Substitutes
34. Arady B. 9. Bentancourt R. 40. Capdevilla D. 17. Ginella F. . Hola H. 36. Lopez N. 32. Marquez U. 18. Petit G. 3. Ramos M. 15. Rodriguez D. 22. Zabala D.	15. Amor E. 44. Ballesteros J. (G) 23. Gonzalez R. 13. Gutierrez B. 19. Lezcano D. 26. Moya M. 39. Pinto M. 18. Soto B. 28. Soto L. 29. Yanez F. 27. Zavala C.

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nacional have a series of home games.

Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Serie Rio de la Plata
17.01.24	Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 penalties ✺
13.01.24	Nacional Montevideo - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.12.23	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
04.12.23	Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
30.11.23	La Luz - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTWW
- Colo-Colo
Serie Rio de la Plata
16.01.24	Colo-Colo - Rosario Central	1:0 penalties ✺
Chilean Cup
13.12.23	Deportes Magallanes - Colo-Colo	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.12.23	Curicó Unido - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Colo-Colo - Unión Española	0:2 ✺
26.11.23	Audax Italiano - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWLW

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