Match Info

CHILE: Chilean Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bueras (Santiago de Chile)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium


	Deportes Magallanes		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.5	1.4	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.36
	7.5	4.5	1.38	Watch
	6.67	4.97	1.37
	6.94	4.65	1.37	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.35
	7.19	4.5	1.36
	7.5	4.5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.16 ↑ (7.01)	4.57 ↑ (4.2)	1.37 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
12.8%

Draw
20.1%

Colo-Colo
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

22.2%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

21.4%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Deportes Magallanes aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Deportes Magallanes - Colo Colo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bernatene M. (G) 7. Alfaro J. 10. Aranguiz T. 20. Catalan D. 15. Cuadra M. 14. Espinoza F. 24. Gonzalez R. 9. Larrivey J. 5. Mancilla N. 21. Quiroz J. 4. Vasquez M.	1. De Paul F. (G) 19. Castellani G. 32. Cepeda L. 9. Correa J. 37. Falcon M. 5. Gil L. 33. Gonzalez R. 16. Opazo Lara O. (C) 29. Paiva G. 28. Soto L. 21. Wiemberg E.
Coaches
Fuentes R.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Larrivey J. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Larrivey J. (Pen),
37', Correa J. 🟨,
39', 3 - 0, Larrivey J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Wiemberg E. 🟨,
55', Soto L. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
65', Alfaro J. ↓, Vicuna M. ↑,
65', Larrivey J. 🟨,
73', Wiemberg E. ↓, Riquelme C. ↑,
77', Catalan D. 🟨,
78', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
78', Gonzalez R. 🟥,
84', Cuadra M. ↓, Zamorano C. ↑,
84', Correa J. ↓, Villagra J. ↑,
85', Quiroz J. 🟨,
87', Aranguiz T. ↓, Gottesman J. ↑,
87', Larrivey J. ↓, Abarca Antil F. A. ↑,
87', Catalan D. ↓, Neira E. ↑,
90+3', Vicuna M. 🟨,
90+4', Opazo Lara O. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Magallanes is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Colo-Colo is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Colo-Colo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Colo-Colo is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Magallanes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Magallanes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.08.24	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Magallanes	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Deportes Magallanes - Curicó Unido	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Magallanes	3:1 ✺
11.08.24	Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Wanderers	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Santiago Morning - Deportes Magallanes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLWW
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
01.09.24	Cobreloa - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
29.08.24	Colo-Colo - Ñublense	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Everton de Viña - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.24	Junior Barranquilla - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.08.24	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
13.12.23	Deportes Magallanes - Colo-Colo	1:3
Chilean Primera Division
07.11.23	Deportes Magallanes - Colo-Colo	1:2
05.03.23	Colo-Colo - Deportes Magallanes	2:0
Chilean Super Cup
15.01.23	Colo-Colo - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 pen.

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