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Current Win Probability
Peñarol de Montevideo 49.5%
Draw 28.8%
Liverpool Montevideo 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
26.4%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
26.8%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Liverpool (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - Liverpool (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Aguerre W. (G) 36. Barboza B. 2. Escobar F. 6. Ferreira L. 15. Olivera M. (C) 8. Fernandez N. 21. Jesus Trindade 23. Togni G. 93. Laxalt D. 32. Umpierrez L. 19. Arezo M.
25. Campana M. (G) 3. Strasorier S. 15. Laquidain S. 23. Castillo E. 24. Amaro K. 5. Garayalde N. 20. Rabunal M. (C) 27. Romero D. 22. Zabala D. 7. Martinez F. 11. Bentancourt R.
Substitutes
22. Alvez F. 18. Barbas G. 9. Batista F. 1. Britos S. (G) 25. Gonzalez M. 99. Hernandez A. 27. Lucas Hernandez 30. Muhlethaler S. 16. Olase T. 14. Rodriguez K.
16. Acosta L. 31. Barcelo F. 1. Bernatene M. (G) 18. Cayetano A. 10. Degregorio R. M. 34. Lewis K. 9. Machado R. 6. Milano S. 8. Mir M. 4. Perdomo F.
Coaches
Aguirre D.
Fossati J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Jesus Trindade ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Martinez F. ⚽,
8', Olivera M. 🟨,
8', Campana M. 🟨,
31', Olivera M. 🟨,
38', Bentancourt R. 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽,
45+5', Campana M. ↓, Bernatene M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fernandez N. ↓, Alvez F. ↑,
61', Castillo E. 🟨,
61', Ferreira L. 🟨,
62', Romero D. ↓, Mir M. ↑,
62', Zabala D. ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
66', Arezo M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
67', Laxalt D. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
75', Bentancourt R. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
75', Garayalde N. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
80', Togni G. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
90+2', Aguerre W. 🟨,
90+3', Umpierrez L. ↓, Barbas G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Peñarol has had a series of away games.
In this match, Peñarol is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Penarol
9
6
2
1
15:6
9
19
Last Results with these Odds
Peñarol de Montevideo - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.64%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
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