Match Info

Championship - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: The Home of the Set Fare Arena (Livingston)

Referee: Graham C. (Sco)


	Livingston		Queens Park

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.90	6.25
	1.43	4.00	6.00
	1.47	4.00	6.40	Watch
	1.47	4.36	7.27
	1.46	4.21	6.74	Watch
	1.45	4.30	6.75
	1.41	4.05	6.97	Watch
	1.46	4.20	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	4.13 ↓ (4.23)	6.6 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
63.7%

Draw
22.3%

Queens Park
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

22.1%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

22.4%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Queens Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Livingston - Queens Park Predictions

Users Predictions: Livingston will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 23. Kabongolo B. 12. Robertson M. 3. Fati B. 15. MacPherson C. 8. Pittman S. 16. Palmer C. 7. Sinclair T. 9. Muirhead R. (C) 27. Carey G.	30. Wills J. (G) 12. Pignatiello C. 4. Murray E. (C) 5. Lamie R. 22. Shiels M. 14. Stewart L. 7. Longridge L. 8. Martin S. 11. Connolly A. 9. Ruth M. 10. Hamilton J.
Substitutes
31. Boggan J. 36. Culbert S. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 2. Kerr C. 17. May S. 5. McGowan R. 39. Polworth L. 19. van Hoeven B. 4. Wilkie J.	26. Brannan B. 16. Fisher O. 25. Lawson Z. 3. MacKenzie M. 24. McCallion A. 17. McDonnell T. 21. McLean R. 1. Mitchell D. (G) 27. Smith C.
Coaches
Whelan G.	Crighton S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Shiels M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Muirhead R. ⚽, Sinclair T. (A),
66', Carey G. ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
66', Longridge L. ↓, McLean R. ↑,
67', Stewart L. ↓, McDonnell T. ↑,
67', Hamilton J. ↓, McCallion A. ↑,
74', Palmer C. ↓, May S. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Muirhead R. ⚽, Pittman S. (A),
84', Connolly A. ↓, Lawson Z. ↑,
84', Ruth M. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
90+1', Sinclair T. ↓, Kerr C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 2.

Recent performances by Livingston have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Queens Park is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Livingston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Livingston is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Livingston: 22.81% Queen's Park: 0.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Livingston	9	4	1	4	13:9	4	13
9	Queen's Park	8	1	1	6	4:13	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	1:0 penalties ✺
21.07.26	Livingston - Forfar Athletic	8:0 ✺
18.07.26	Livingston - Partick Thistle	1:2 penalties ✺
14.07.26	Brechin City - Livingston	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Livingston - Hearts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLWW
- Queens Park FC
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Queens Park - Queen of the South	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Aberdeen - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Kelty Hearts - Queens Park	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Queens Park - Brora Rangers	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Clyde - Queens Park	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
05.04.25	Livingston - Queens Park	3:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
30.03.25	Queens Park - Livingston	0:5
Scottish Football Championship
04.01.25	Queens Park - Livingston	2:0
02.11.24	Livingston - Queens Park	1:1
09.08.24	Queens Park - Livingston	1:1
Club Friendly
10.07.23	Queens Park - Livingston	0:1
Scottish League One
22.04.17	Livingston - Queens Park	4:0

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