Match Info

Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stebonheath Park (Llanelli)

Referee: McInch A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Mexico	DAZN App
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Peru	DAZN App
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C
World	FIFA+


	Llanelli		Bala Town

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.6	1.7
	4.36	3.91	1.78
	5.54	3.99	1.58	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.73
	4.25	3.74	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (4.33)	3.77 ↑ (3.77)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli
20.6%

Draw
24.8%

Bala Town
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

24.3%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

24.3%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Bala Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Bala Town aligns with the current prediction.

Llanelli - Bala Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pennock A. (G) 22. Baker J. 21. Evans M. 23. Farrell-Alli J. 15. Gibbings B. 11. Jenkins T. 20. Lester J. 7. Lloyd J. 14. Parsons S. S. 16. Power M. 19. Williams D.	1. Torrance J. (G) 5. Bell W. 27. Billington S. 22. Ferguson C. 3. Hall L. 11. Higgins L. 16. Kelly T. 7. Mendes L. 10. Owen J. 9. Tarasenko J. 23. White R.
Substitutes
17. Booth R. 2. Bright H. 6. Hopkins J. 10. Hussein K. 18. Owen L. 8. Powell E. 13. Williams O. (G)	29. Dogan T. . Evans C. 21. Fisher C. 99. Mehasseb H. 14. Samuels J.
Coaches
Boyle T.	Fisher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Ferguson C. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, White R. ⚽,
36', Parsons S. S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 3, Tarasenko J. ⚽,
53', Gibbings B. ↓, Booth R. ↑,
53', Evans M. ↓, Bright H. ↑,
54', Bright H. 🟨,
55', 0 - 4, Billington S. ⚽,
68', Farrell-Alli J. ↓, Powell E. ↑,
72', Kelly T. 🟨,
79', Kelly T. ↓, Fisher C. ↑,
81', Lloyd J. ↓, Owen L. ↑,
81', Jenkins T. ↓, Hussein K. ↑,
85', 0 - 5, Tarasenko J. ⚽,
87', Billington S. ↓, Mehasseb H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llanelli won 0.

Llanelli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Bala Town has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bala Town is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Llanelli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:27. (average 0.8:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Llanelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 1:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru Premier
28.03.26	Flint Town United - Llanelli	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Llanelli - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Llanelli - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Bala Town - Llanelli	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Llanelli - Haverfordwest County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 WLLTL
- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
28.03.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bala Town - Haverfordwest County	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Flint Town United - Bala Town	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Bala Town - Llanelli	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Bala Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
27.02.26	Bala Town - Llanelli	0:0
31.10.25	Bala Town - Llanelli	1:0
30.08.25	Llanelli - Bala Town	0:1
22.12.18	Llanelli - Bala Town	1:7
08.09.18	Bala Town - Llanelli	3:1
20.04.13	Llanelli - Bala Town	1:5
10.03.13	Bala Town - Llanelli	4:0

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