Match Info

Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Old Road (Briton Ferry)

Referee: Jenkins R. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C


	Briton Ferry Llansawel		Bala Town

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.45	3.6
	1.86	3.66	3.7
	1.91	3.73	3.69	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.7
	1.88	3.42	3.63	Watch
	1.86	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.15)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	3.68 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Briton Ferry Llansawel
48.8%

Draw
26.1%

Bala Town
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

25.8%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Briton Ferry Llansawel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Briton Ferry Llansawel's performance.

Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bala Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bala Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Briton Ferry Llansawel - Bala Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Briton Ferry will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Bala Town will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Briton Ferry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fuller W. (G) 20. Anderson O. 2. Bates L. 15. Cooper L. 23. Fanning J. 4. Gammond A. 3. Jenkins K. 12. Owen R. 8. Price T. 9. Walters T. 6. Williams K.	1. Torrance J. (G) 5. Bell W. 8. Burke N. (C) 44. Dean H. 4. Digbeu N. 22. Ferguson C. 17. Ibrahim O. 99. Mehasseb H. 7. Mendes L. 10. Owen J. 23. White R.
Substitutes
7. Dyer R. 24. Dyer R. 18. George R. 11. Hurford C. 5. Jacobs E. 21. Packer D. 1. Wilson R. (G)	29. Dogan T. 15. Evans C. 21. Fisher C. 16. Kelly T. 6. McGiveron D. 9. Tarasenko J.
Coaches
Dyer A.	Fisher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Anderson O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mendes L. ↓, McGiveron D. ↑,
51', Burke N. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Walters T. ⚽,
60', Owen J. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
60', Mehasseb H. ↓, Tarasenko J. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Anderson O. ⚽,
79', Anderson O. ↓, Dyer R. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Evans C. ⚽,

Preview

Briton Ferry is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bala Town's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bala Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Briton Ferry is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Briton Ferry won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Briton Ferry won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Briton Ferry: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	11:20	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
14.02.26	Flint Town United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Haverfordwest County	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
13.01.26	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:3 ✺
31.12.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Barry Town United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLWWW
- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.02.26	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Bala Town - Flint Town United	3:4 ✺
13.01.26	Flint Town United - Bala Town	0:4 ✺
06.01.26	The New Saints - Bala Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
07.11.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Bala Town	2:0
19.09.25	Bala Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2
28.09.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Bala Town	2:2
16.08.24	Bala Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:0
Welsh FA Cup
04.02.23	Bala Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:0

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