Match Info

Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 26

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stebonheath Park (Llanelli)

Referee: Owen T. (Wal)


	Llanelli		Haverfordwest County

	1	X	2
	8.1	4.95	1.31
	9.33	4.79	1.31
	9.04	5.06	1.32	Watch
	9	4.5	1.33
	7.37	4.6	1.34
	9	4.75	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.64 ↓ (9)	4.78 ↓ (5.07)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli
10.7%

Draw
19.4%

Haverfordwest County
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.4%

18.4%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.8%

17.4%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haverfordwest County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Llanelli - Haverfordwest County Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Llanelli will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Haverfordwest will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pennock A. (G) 17. Booth R. 4. Cronin S. 21. Evans M. 15. Gibbings B. 6. Hopkins J. 20. Lester J. 7. Lloyd J. 14. Parsons S. S. 16. Power M. 19. Williams D.	1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 6. Bacon J. 10. Hawkins D. 24. Humphreys I. 11. Makwiramiti P. 17. McCarthy K. 2. Rees D. (C) 8. Shephard C. 18. Walters G.
Substitutes
22. Baker J. 2. Bright H. 9. Hinds S. 11. Jenkins T. 3. Parry J. 8. Powell E. 13. Williams O. (G)	20. Jones O. 31. Rees L. (G) 4. Scotcher E. 15. Shepherd T. 44. Thomas H. 21. Watkins A. 7. Watts R.
Coaches
Boyle T.	Pennock T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Hawkins D. ⚽,
32', Lester J. ↓, Baker J. ↑,
35', McCarthy K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Humphreys I. ↓, Watts R. ↑,
67', Gibbings B. ↓, Jenkins T. ↑,
80', Williams D. ↓, Bright H. ↑,
80', Parsons S. S. ↓, Parry J. ↑,
89', Hawkins D. ↓, Jones O. ↑,
90+3', Makwiramiti P. ↓, Watkins A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llanelli won 3.

Llanelli has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Haverfordwest is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Haverfordwest is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Llanelli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Llanelli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Haverfordwest: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Haverfordwest	12	3	1	8	7:17	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.02.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Llanelli	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Llanelli - Flint Town United	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
13.01.26	Barry Town United - Llanelli	5:1 ✺
01.01.26	Llanelli - Pen-y-Bont	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLLL
- Haverfordwest County
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.02.26	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	3:0 ✺
06.02.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Haverfordwest County	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:3 ✺
30.12.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
26.12.25	Haverfordwest County - Llanelli	3:0
Welsh FA Cup
17.10.25	Llanelli - Haverfordwest County	3:0
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.09.25	Llanelli - Haverfordwest County	1:0
Welsh FA Cup
13.12.24	Haverfordwest County - Llanelli	0:2
Welsh Cymru South
03.01.20	Llanelli - Haverfordwest County	0:1
27.12.19	Haverfordwest County - Llanelli	4:1
Welsh League Cup
28.08.18	Haverfordwest County - Llanelli	3:0

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