Match Info

Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Maes Tegid (Bala)

Referee: Jones A. (Wal)


	Bala Town		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.9	5.5
	1.52	4.08	6.62
	1.52	4.11	6.09	Watch
	1.53	3.75	6
	1.51	4.08	6.13
	1.37	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.37)	4.02 ↓ (4.48)	6.14 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Town
61.9%

Draw
23%

Llanelli
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

20.5%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

13.6%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Llanelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bala Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Bala Town - Llanelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torrance J. (G) 5. Bell W. 8. Burke N. (C) 44. Dean H. 22. Ferguson C. 3. Hall L. 17. Ibrahim O. 6. McGiveron D. 7. Mendes L. 9. Tarasenko J. 23. White R.	1. Pennock A. (G) 22. Baker J. 17. Booth R. 4. Cronin S. 21. Evans M. 15. Gibbings B. 6. Hopkins J. 7. Lloyd J. 14. Parsons S. S. 16. Power M. 19. Williams D.
Substitutes
27. Billington S. 4. Digbeu N. 29. Dogan T. 15. Evans C. 16. Kelly T. 35. Milne H. 10. Owen J.	2. Bright H. 23. Farrell-Alli J. 11. Jenkins T. 3. Parry J. 13. Williams O. (G)
Coaches
Fisher S.	Boyle T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Hopkins J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Gibbings B. ↓, Jenkins T. ↑,
64', McGiveron D. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
64', Tarasenko J. ↓, Kelly T. ↑,
72', Booth R. ↓, Bright H. ↑,
74', Ferguson C. ↓, Billington S. ↑,
80', Williams D. ↓, Farrell-Alli J. ↑,
80', Ibrahim O. ↓, Owen J. ↑,
83', Cronin S. 🟨,
89', Bell W. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 5.

Recent form of Bala Town has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Llanelli is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Bala Town is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:8. (average 3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bala Town won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.02.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Bala Town	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Bala Town - Flint Town United	3:4 ✺
13.01.26	Flint Town United - Bala Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTLW
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru Premier
20.02.26	Llanelli - Haverfordwest County	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Llanelli	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Llanelli - Flint Town United	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
13.01.26	Barry Town United - Llanelli	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
31.10.25	Bala Town - Llanelli	1:0
30.08.25	Llanelli - Bala Town	0:1
22.12.18	Llanelli - Bala Town	1:7
08.09.18	Bala Town - Llanelli	3:1
20.04.13	Llanelli - Bala Town	1:5
10.03.13	Bala Town - Llanelli	4:0
15.12.12	Bala Town - Llanelli	1:2

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