Match Info

Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 29

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Maes Tegid (Bala)

Referee: Owen T. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C


	Bala Town		Haverfordwest County

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.93
	3.95	3.3	1.85
	4.17	3.56	1.84
	4.14	3.59	1.84	Watch
	4	3.3	1.85
	4.24	3.52	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.19)	3.41 ↓ (3.46)	1.86 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Town
23.1%

Draw
27.1%

Haverfordwest County
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

27%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.6%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bala Town's form might have worsened.

Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haverfordwest County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bala Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haverfordwest County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Bala Town - Haverfordwest County Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bala Town will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Haverfordwest will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Haverfordwest (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torrance J. (G) 5. Bell W. 27. Billington S. 44. Dean H. 22. Ferguson C. 3. Hall L. 11. Higgins L. 6. McGiveron D. 7. Mendes L. 9. Tarasenko J. 23. White R.	1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 6. Bacon J. 10. Hawkins D. 19. Kenniford K. 11. Makwiramiti P. 17. McCarthy K. 2. Rees D. (C) 4. Scotcher E. 18. Walters G.
Substitutes
77. Beck L. 29. Dogan T. . Evans C. 21. Fisher C. 16. Kelly T. 99. Mehasseb H. 10. Owen J.	23. Hughes W. 24. Humphreys I. 5. Jones A. 20. Jones O. 31. Rees L. (G) 44. Thomas H. 21. Watkins A.
Coaches
Fisher S.	Pennock T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Ferguson C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bacon J. ↓, Humphreys I. ↑,
62', Makwiramiti P. 🟨,
73', Ferguson C. ↓, Owen J. ↑,
74', Walters G. ↓, Watkins A. ↑,
82', Ahmun B. ↓, Jones O. ↑,
84', 🟨,
87', McCarthy K. ↓, Thomas H. ↑,
90+4', Higgins L. ↓, Fisher C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 0.

Bala Town has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Haverfordwest is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Haverfordwest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Haverfordwest might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bala Town won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Haverfordwest: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Haverfordwest	12	3	1	8	7:17	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
14.03.26	Flint Town United - Bala Town	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Bala Town - Llanelli	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Bala Town	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLLT
- Haverfordwest County
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.03.26	Haverfordwest County - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Haverfordwest County - Flint Town United	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Llanelli - Haverfordwest County	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	3:0 ✺
06.02.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Haverfordwest County	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
13.02.26	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	3:0
05.12.25	Bala Town - Haverfordwest County	0:2
10.10.25	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	2:0
15.03.25	Bala Town - Haverfordwest County	0:0
25.01.25	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	3:2
23.11.24	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	0:0
04.10.24	Bala Town - Haverfordwest County	0:2

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