Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stebonheath Park (Llanelli)

Referee: Charlton-Fleming C. (Wal)


	Llanelli		Colwyn Bay

	1	X	2
	6.3	4.45	1.41
	7.63	4.72	1.44
	7.19	3.20	1.62	Watch
	6.6	4.4	1.42
	5.33	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.61 ↑ (4.89)	4.15 ↑ (4)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli
14.2%

Draw
22.6%

Colwyn Bay
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

23%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22.1%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Llanelli - Colwyn Bay Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Llanelli will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Colwyn Bay will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Colwyn Bay (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Colwyn Bay will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Colwyn Bay (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pennock A. (G) 10. Bonthron A. 2. Bright H. 8. Cann E. 4. Cronin S. 6. Hopkins J. 20. Lester J. 7. Lloyd J. 3. Parry J. 23. Sanca N. 19. Williams D.	45. Brown A. (G) 7. Cumming J. 9. Davies J. 6. Forde S. 3. Hart S. 24. Hughes G. 25. Kargbo U. 4. Peate N. 10. Robles L. 5. Sirrell L. 14. Williams A.
Substitutes
17. Booth R. 21. Evans M. 15. Gibbings B. 11. Jenkins T. 12. Lewis M. (G) 16. Norris J. 14. Parsons S. S.	26. Davies O. 23. Edwards A. 22. Kargbo I. 41. Murphy L. (G) 11. Roberts E. 20. Williams A.
Coaches
John L.	Wilde M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Robles L. (Pen),
22', Bright H. ↓, Evans M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Hart S. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,
66', Williams A. ↓, Kargbo I. ↑,
70', Williams D. 🟨,
75', Williams D. ↓, Norris J. ↑,
82', Bonthron A. ↓, Booth R. ↑,
82', Cann E. ↓, Gibbings B. ↑,
82', Parry J. ↓, Jenkins T. ↑,
85', Kargbo U. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
90+3', Norris J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

Llanelli is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Colwyn Bay has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Colwyn Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colwyn Bay is the clear favorite.

We predict that Colwyn Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.09.25	The New Saints - Llanelli	6:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Barry Town United - Llanelli	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
06.09.25	Llanelli - Flint Town United	0:5 ✺
30.08.25	Llanelli - Bala Town	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Pen-y-Bont - Llanelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.09.25	Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Colwyn Bay	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Colwyn Bay - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Colwyn Bay - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Bala Town - Colwyn Bay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWTTL

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