Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Llanelian Road (Old Colwyn)

Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)


	Colwyn Bay		Briton Ferry Llansawel

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.6	3.1
	2.15	3.6	2.88
	1.93	3.94	3.4
	3.23	3.71	2.04	Watch
	2	3.5	3.3
	2.19	3.64	2.85
	2.2	3.21	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.33)	3.6 ↑ (3.43)	2.86 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colwyn Bay
41.7%

Draw
25.8%

Briton Ferry Llansawel
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Colwyn Bay - Briton Ferry Llansawel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Briton Ferry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Williams R. (G) 9. Davies J. 23. Edwards A. 6. Forde S. 3. Hart S. (C) 19. Hill M. 22. Kargbo I. 25. Kargbo U. 4. Peate N. 10. Robles L. 5. Sirrell L.	13. Fuller W. (G) 2. Bates L. 16. Davies R. 11. Hurford C. 3. Jenkins K. 12. Owen R. 8. Price T. 14. Sage E. 19. Smith C. 9. Walters T. 6. Williams K.
Substitutes
7. Cumming J. 24. Hughes G. 27. McGoona M. 41. Murphy L. (G) 11. Roberts E. 14. Williams A. 20. Williams A.	20. Anderson O. 7. Dyer R. 17. Evans J. 18. George R. 21. Packer D. 10. Snaith S. 1. Wilson R. (G)
Coaches
Wilde M.	Dyer A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Walters T. ⚽,
21', Fuller W. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Peate N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', Hart S. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,
67', Hill M. ↓, Hughes G. ↑,
67', Kargbo I. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Walters T. ⚽,
69', Sage E. ↓, Snaith S. ↑,
73', Hughes G. 🟨,
76', 2 - 2, Davies J. ⚽,
77', Kargbo U. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
83', Walters T. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
89', Hurford C. ↓, George R. ↑,
89', Davies R. ↓, Packer D. ↑,
90', Edwards A. ↓, Cumming J. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

Recent form of Colwyn Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Briton Ferry is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Briton Ferry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier
25.08.25	Colwyn Bay - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Bala Town - Colwyn Bay	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Barry Town United - Colwyn Bay	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay	1:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
01.08.25	Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TLTTL
- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
25.08.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Haverfordwest County	0:1 ✺
22.08.25	Llanelli - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:4 ✺
15.08.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	The New Saints - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:3 ✺
Welsh League Cup
01.08.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 LWTWW

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