Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Llanelian Road (Old Colwyn)

Referee: Owen T. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Colwyn Bay		Haverfordwest County

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.80	5.25
	1.49	3.95	5.5
	1.5	4.44	5.99
	1.52	4.16	6	Watch
	1.47	4	5.85
	1.45	4	6.01
	1.5	4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.73)	4.05 ↑ (3.5)	5.74 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Colwyn Bay
61.4%

Draw
22.6%

Haverfordwest County
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colwyn Bay's performance.

Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haverfordwest County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colwyn Bay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+5%)

Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Halstead M. (G) 8. Bratley C. 11. Davies J. 6. Forde S. 3. Hart S. (C) 7. Kenny J. 4. Peate N. 22. Poole D. 2. Roberts D. 10. Robles L. 5. Sirrell L.	1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 10. Hawkins D. 17. McCarthy K. 15. Owen J. 2. Rees D. 9. Rees L. 8. Shephard C. 25. Walker J. 18. Walters G.
Substitutes
13. Bubb C. (G) 9. Davies A. 23. Edwards A. 19. Hill M. 27. Hoban B. 17. Roberts E. 16. Williams J.	19. Hackett J. 4. Kenniford K. 30. Myers L. (G) 14. Phillips B. 27. Thomas H. 16. Twose C. 7. Watts R.
Coaches
Wilde M.	Pennock T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Rees L. ↓, Thomas H. ↑,
65', Robles L. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
65', Hart S. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,
65', Kenny J. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
79', McCarthy K. 🟨,
88', Bratley C. ↓, Hill M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Roberts D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 11th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 1.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Haverfordwest could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Colwyn Bay is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Colwyn Bay in today's match, at odds of 1.63.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Colwyn Bay has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:11 (averaging 0.8:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Colwyn Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Colwyn Bay: 1.63% Haverfordwest: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Colwyn Bay	12	7	1	4	21:15	6	22
12	Haverfordwest	12	3	1	8	7:17	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.09.26	Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United	5:2 ✺
15.09.26	Holywell Town - Colwyn Bay	0:5 ✺
12.09.26	Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Pen-y-Bont - Colwyn Bay	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Colwyn Bay - Llandudno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW
- Haverfordwest County
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.09.26	Haverfordwest County - Holywell Town	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Haverfordwest County - Trefelin	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Llandudno - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
15.11.25	Haverfordwest County - Colwyn Bay	1:0
13.09.25	Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County	3:0
13.04.24	Haverfordwest County - Colwyn Bay	3:1
02.03.24	Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County	0:0
04.11.23	Haverfordwest County - Colwyn Bay	5:0
02.09.23	Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County	1:2

Upcoming Matches