Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports Online


	Llaneros SA		Bogotá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	5.25	8.5
	1.25	5.5	10	Watch
	1.26	5.68	10.59
	1.28	5.3	10.29	Watch
	1.22	5	11
	1.25	5.45	10.5	Watch
	1.25	5.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)	5.38 ↑ (4.2)	10.13 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
73.7%

Draw
17.1%

Bogotá
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

21.7%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llaneros SA's performance.

Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llaneros SA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Llaneros SA - Bogotá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cadavid A. (G) 20. Angulo J. 32. Arbelaez F. 11. Bogota C. 5. Cadavid A. 8. Lopez A. 4. Mojica A. 99. Restrepo E. 10. Uruena B. (C) 26. Verdugo A. 28. Zagert E.	12. Agamez W. (G) 11. Castro B. 32. Castro K. 3. Diaz Perez S. M. 23. Gomez K. 20. Luna H. 33. Merlano S. 13. Ramos Jaramillo H. 5. Salazar S. (C) 27. Vacca J. 9. Vergara C.
Substitutes
1. Armesto K. (G) 19. Churi B. 7. Duarte W. 23. Nieva J. 21. Ospina N. 6. Sierra M. 15. Valencia C.	25. Andrade J. 16. Cabrera Moreno K. S. 19. Cueto L. 1. Lescano Romana E. (G) 28. Medina M. 2. Solis J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Vergara C. ⚽,
30', Agamez W. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Vergara C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lopez A. ↓, Churi B. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Luna H. ⚽,
53', 🟨,
55', Zagert E. ↓, Duarte W. ↑,
55', Verdugo A. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, Ospina N. ⚽,
69', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', 2 - 3, Duarte W. (Pen),
80', Nieva J. 🟨,
80', Vergara C. 🟨,
83', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera B
11.09.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Real Cundinamarca - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Llaneros SA - Tigres	2:0 ✺
27.08.24	Barranquilla - Llaneros SA	3:2 ✺
22.08.24	Llaneros SA - Leones	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLW
- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
09.09.24	Bogotá - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
05.09.24	Tigres - Bogotá	1:0 ✺
02.09.24	Bogotá - Cúcuta Deportivo	5:0 ✺
26.08.24	Deportes Quindío - Bogotá	2:2 ✺
21.08.24	Bogotá - Internacional de Palmira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
15.04.24	Bogotá - Llaneros SA	1:2
25.08.23	Bogotá - Llaneros SA	0:0
08.03.23	Llaneros SA - Bogotá	2:0
03.09.22	Llaneros SA - Bogotá	2:0
03.05.22	Bogotá - Llaneros SA	0:1
29.11.21	Bogotá - Llaneros SA	1:3
14.11.21	Llaneros SA - Bogotá	2:0

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