Match Info

Cymru South - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Llantwit Major		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.7	3.65
	1.75	4.05	3.66
	1.8	3.97	3.81	Watch
	1.73	4	3.6
	1.71	3.84	3.79
	1.73	3.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)	3.89 ↑ (3.72)	3.69 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llantwit Major
52.1%

Draw
23.3%

Llanelli
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

24.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

23.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llantwit Major has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (-1%)

Llantwit Major - Llanelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Roscrow A. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Roscrow A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 0.

Both teams have struggled badly to pick up points in their latest fixtures.

Llanelli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Llantwit Major is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Llantwit Major has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:19 (averaging 1.4:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Llantwit Major against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1.8:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Llantwit Major	8	2	1	5	7:20	-13	7
16	Llanelli	10	0	2	8	7:27	-20	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
12.09.26	Treowen Stars - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llantwit Major	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	5:0 ✺
01.08.26	Llantwit Major - Pure Swansea	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLLL
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
11.09.26	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Llanelli - Treowen Stars	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llanelli	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Llanelli - Carmarthen Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Cardiff Draconians - Llanelli	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
17.01.25	Llanelli - Llantwit Major	2:0
10.08.24	Llantwit Major - Llanelli	2:2
08.03.24	Llanelli - Llantwit Major	2:1
Welsh FA Cup
13.10.23	Llanelli - Llantwit Major	4:0
Welsh Cymru South
28.08.23	Llantwit Major - Llanelli	2:5
17.02.23	Llanelli - Llantwit Major	1:2
19.11.22	Llantwit Major - Llanelli	0:1

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