Match Info

FAW Welsh Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Caerau Ely		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	1.17	7.00	10.00
	1.13	6.4	10.5
	1.13	6.96	10.1
	1.17	6.8	11
	1.11	6.8	9.9
	1.11	6.8	13
	1.15	6.8	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.18)	6.79 ↑ (5.92)	10.79 ↓ (10.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
78.5%

Draw
13.2%

Llanelli
8.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.5%

15.2%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

The chances for Llanelli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Caerau Ely - Llanelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

Caerau has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Llanelli is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, Caerau enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Caerau has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:11 (averaging 1:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Caerau against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.26	Aberystwyth Town - Caerau Ely	0:1 ✺
02.10.26	Caerau Ely - Afan Lido	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Cardiff Draconians - Caerau Ely	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.26	Ynyshir Albions - Llanelli	6:2 ✺
02.10.26	Llanelli - Baglan Dragons	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Llantwit Major - Llanelli	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Llanelli - Treowen Stars	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
11.09.26	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	2:0
07.03.25	Llanelli - Caerau Ely	3:1
11.10.24	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	1:2
03.11.23	Llanelli - Caerau Ely	4:0
27.10.23	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
30.10.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Caerau Ely	✺
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
30.10.26	Pontypridd United - Llanelli	✺

Caerau Ely - Llanelli