Match Info

Cymru South - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Caerau Ely		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.7	8
	1.23	6.51	7.59
	1.23	6.57	9.31	Watch
	1.22	6.4	7.5
	1.28	6.51	7.6
	1.22	5.8	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.28)	6.25 ↑ (5.38)	7.97 ↑ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
74%

Draw
14.6%

Llanelli
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

16.8%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Caerau Ely - Llanelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Parker T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, Griffiths D. ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,
90+6', Griffiths D. 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15).

Caerau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Llanelli has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Llanelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Caerau is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Caerau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Caerau Ely	9	5	1	3	21:18	3	16
16	Llanelli	10	0	2	8	7:27	-20	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
31.08.26	Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars	3:2 ✺
28.08.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Caerau Ely - Pure Swansea	1:5 ✺
14.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	2:4 ✺
07.08.26	Caerau Ely - Ynyshir Albions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWT
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
04.09.26	Llanelli - Treowen Stars	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llanelli	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Llanelli - Carmarthen Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Cardiff Draconians - Llanelli	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Pure Swansea - Llanelli	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
07.03.25	Llanelli - Caerau Ely	3:1
11.10.24	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	1:2
03.11.23	Llanelli - Caerau Ely	4:0
27.10.23	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	1:2

Upcoming Matches