Match Info

Cymru South - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday


	Llantwit Major		Baglan Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.35	3.20
	1.95	3.49	3.40
	2.07	3.51	3.31	Watch
	1.93	3.45	3.35
	2.02	3.82	3.21
	1.96	3.35	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.11)	3.5 ↑ (3.5)	3.28 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llantwit Major
46.1%

Draw
26.1%

Baglan Dragons
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

25.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llantwit Major has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Jones T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Llantwit Major may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Llantwit Major will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Llantwit Major won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16
15	Llantwit Major	8	2	1	5	7:20	-13	7

Last Results with these Odds

Llantwit Major - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.03%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
07.08.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	5:0 ✺
01.08.26	Llantwit Major - Pure Swansea	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Llantwit Major - Cambrian United	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llantwit Major	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Llantwit Major - Caerau Ely	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
31.07.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Cambrian United - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town	0:7 ✺
24.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
03.01.26	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:0
04.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major	1:1
08.03.25	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:1
30.11.24	Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major	0:0
29.03.24	Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major	0:0

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