Match Info

Cymru South - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Llantwit Major		Trethomas Bluebirds

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.25	2.45
	2.52	3.37	2.54
	2.83	2.52	3.07	Watch
	2.65	3.43	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.53)	3.14 ↓ (3.35)	2.64 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llantwit Major
35.3%

Draw
29.5%

Trethomas Bluebirds
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

26.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

26.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Trethomas Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Llantwit Major - Trethomas Bluebirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Lillico T. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Griffiths B. L. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Walbeoff T. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

Llantwit Major has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Trethomas Bluebirds has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Llantwit Major won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
25.08.25	Trefelin - Llantwit Major	3:3 ✺
22.08.25	Cambrian United - Llantwit Major	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Llantwit Major - Carmarthen Town	0:0 ✺
08.08.25	Ammanford - Llantwit Major	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Llantwit Major - Aberystwyth Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTLL
- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
25.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Treowen Stars	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	3:2 ✺
15.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cambrian United	0:5 ✺
08.08.25	Caerau Ely - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
01.08.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
27.09.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Llantwit Major	1:1
27.07.24	Llantwit Major - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:1

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