Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Llantwit Major		Pontardawe Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.45	2.22
	2.7	3.62	2.33	Watch
	2.59	3.52	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.58)	3.53 ↓ (3.54)	2.25 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llantwit Major
34.5%

Draw
25.5%

Pontardawe Town
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

25.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

24.5%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Pontardawe Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Llantwit Major - Pontardawe Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th and 11th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Pontardawe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Llantwit Major has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Llantwit Major against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Pontardawe	8	3	0	5	14:16	-2	9
15	Llantwit Major	8	2	1	5	7:20	-13	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
06.10.26	Pontypridd United - Llantwit Major	4:1 ✺
02.10.26	Carmarthen Town - Llantwit Major	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Llantwit Major - Llanelli	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Treowen Stars - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llantwit Major	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWWTL
- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
03.10.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontardawe Town	2:3 ✺
26.09.26	Pontardawe Town - Treowen Stars	6:1 ✺
11.09.26	Pure Swansea - Pontardawe Town	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Pontardawe Town	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
16.12.23	Pontardawe Town - Llantwit Major	3:2
28.01.23	Llantwit Major - Pontardawe Town	4:1

Llantwit Major - Pontardawe Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide