Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 27

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Lokomotiv Stadium (Gomel)


	Lokomotiv Gomel		BumProm Gomel

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.02	2.25
	3.15	3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	3.01 ↑ (3)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Gomel
29.3%

Draw
30.4%

BumProm Gomel
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

29.2%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

BumProm Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gomel than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BumProm Gomel than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Lokomotiv Gomel - BumProm Gomel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lokomotiv Gomel (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Gomel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Prishivalko P. (G) 77. Drozdovich A. 99. Kozlov I. 21. Milevskiy E. (C) 97. Muzychenko Y. 17. Myzgin V. 15. Petrusevich A. 8. Puzach A. 22. Shevchenko P. 7. Smaltser A. 9. Sychev V.	66. Absamadov S. 10. Gradoboev D. 5. Kaplunov D. 17. Khalimonchikov D. 4. Kruzhilin S. 12. Ovsyanik N. 22. Potorocha V. 1. Sadovsky D. 11. Shkolyar A. 95. Velisevich D. 8. Zhestkin I.
Substitutes
30. Davidovich A. 93. Isachenko E. (G) 24. Katsynel M. 11. Krivorot S. 55. Lazarchik S. 2. Nizhnik D. 25. Tikhomirov D.	14. Alshanik A. 47. Dubrovskiy V. 27. Golenko D. 91. Parmonov K. 9. Simonchik E. 79. Tseslyukevich P. 13. Turkin N. (G) 18. Vospukov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Drozdovich A. ⚽, Petrusevich A. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Myzgin V. ⚽, Kozlov I. (A),
31', Gradoboev D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟨,
78', 3 - 0, Kozlov I. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4).

Lokomotiv Gomel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

BumProm is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lokomotiv Gomel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

BumProm could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Gomel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 2:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Gomel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
21.09.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Belshina	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Slonim - Lokomotiv Gomel	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Orsha	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Lida	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Minsk 2 - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL
- FC BumProm Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.09.25	BumProm Gomel - Lida	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Minsk 2 - BumProm Gomel	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Volna Pinsk - BumProm Gomel	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	BumProm Gomel - Gomel 2	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Baranovichi - BumProm Gomel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
26.10.24	Lokomotiv Gomel - BumProm Gomel	2:0
29.06.24	BumProm Gomel - Lokomotiv Gomel	0:0
03.09.23	BumProm Gomel - Lokomotiv Gomel	0:2
30.04.23	Lokomotiv Gomel - BumProm Gomel	4:0

Lokomotiv Gomel - BumProm Gomel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide