Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: RZD Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lokomotiv Moscow		Akhmat Grozny

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.94	4.80
	1.72	3.90	4.60
	1.78	3.92	4.68	Watch
	1.74	3.75	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.61)	3.88 ↓ (4.1)	4.6 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow
54.6%

Draw
24.6%

Akhmat Grozny
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

23.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Moscow will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 45. Silyanov A. 5. Nyamsi G. 85. Morozov E. 3. Lucas Fasson 7. Bakaev Z. 10. Batrakov A. 93. Karpukas A. 9. Pinyaev S. 19. Rudenko A. 11. Rakov V.	88. Shelia G. (G) 95. Adamov A. 4. Ibishev T. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. 11. Silva I. 18. Romao J. 20. Samorodov M. 17. Cacintura E. 7. Sadulaev L. (C) 77. Melkadze G.
Substitutes
74. Chevardin D. 14. Dzhikiya G. 63. Golubev V. 8. Kovalenko A. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 99. Myalkovskiy R. 24. Nenakhov M. 59. Pogostnov E. 17. Saltykov N. 88. Shchetinin M. 32. Vera L.	70. Gadzhiev A. 97. Kasadzhikov A. 42. Keliano M. 23. Kenzhebek G. 76. Maksuti E. 71. Mitsaev R. (G) 90. Ndong O. 10. Shchetinin K. 81. Sidorov M. 1. Ulyanov V. (G)
Coaches
Galaktionov M.	Cherchesov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Bakaev Z. ⚽,
13', Nyamsi G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Lucas Fasson 🟨,
58', Lucas Fasson ↓, Nenakhov M. ↑,
59', Sadulaev L. ↓, Kenzhebek G. ↑,
68', Bakaev Z. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
68', Pinyaev S. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
68', Samorodov M. ↓, Shchetinin K. ↑,
78', Ibishev T. ↓, Ndong O. ↑,
78', Silva I. ↓, Maksuti E. ↑,
82', Rakov V. ↓, Dzhikiya G. ↑,
82', Rudenko A. ↓, Golubev V. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Maksuti E. ⚽,
88', Batrakov A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 2.

Lokomotiv is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Akhmat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lokomotiv is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lokomotiv: Komlichenko N. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Lokomotiv will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:17. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Lokomotiv Moscow: 0.84% Akhmat Grozny: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lokomotiv Moscow	10	2	4	4	13:11	2	10
13	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	13:13	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan	1:3 ✺
14.07.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	3:0 ✺
03.07.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW
- FC Akhmat Grozny
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Akhmat Grozny - Ajman Club	1:0 ✺
29.06.26	Akhmat Grozny - Borac Banja Luka	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Akhmat Grozny - OFK Beograd	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
17.05.26	Sochi - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
09.03.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:2
13.09.25	Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1
Russian Cup
15.04.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:1
Russian Premier League
07.03.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	1:1
04.08.24	Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:5
07.04.24	Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:2
11.11.23	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:1

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