The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Moscow 56.9%
Draw 23.6%
Akron Tolyatti 19.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.3%
23.5%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
22%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Lantratov I. (G) 7. Bakaev Z. 75. Eremeev I. 27. Komlichenko N. 8. Kovalenko A. 3. Lucas Fasson 23. Montes C. (C) 5. Nyamsi G. 11. Rakov V. 45. Silyanov A. 18. Titkov N.
32. Terekhovsky I. (G) 10. Arevalo K. 81. Bazilevskiy N. 69. Dmitriev A. 26. Escoval R. 80. Khosonov K. 24. Nedelcearu I. (C) 89. Popenkov D. 2. Rocha Y. 99. Shumansky A. 55. Vidosavljevic M.
Substitutes
6. Babkin S. 74. Chevardin D. 14. Dzhikiya G. 47. Godyaev D. 63. Golubev V. 1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 99. Myalkovskiy R. 24. Nenakhov M. 9. Pinyaev S. 59. Pogostnov E. 88. Shchetinin M. 16. Veselov D. (G)
13. Bardybakhin V. 8. Bistrovic K. 19. Bokoev M. 91. Boldyrev M. 5. Djurasovic A. 11. Dudu 21. Fernandez R. 88. Gudiev V. (G) 6. Hovhannisyan K. 71. Pestryakov D. 17. Sidorenko A. 9. Tedic S.
Coaches
Galaktionov M.
Blagojevic S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Escoval R. ↓, Bokoev M. ↑,
46', Arevalo K. ↓, Boldyrev M. ↑,
46', Montes C. ↓, Dzhikiya G. ↑,
46', Rakov V. ↓, Babkin S. ↑,
46', Bakaev Z. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Pinyaev S. ⚽,
52', Pinyaev S. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Shumansky A. ⚽,
64', Shumansky A. ↓, Tedic S. ↑,
64', Bazilevskiy N. ↓, Sidorenko A. ↑,
67', Komlichenko N. ↓, Golubev V. ↑,
74', Silyanov A. ↓, Godyaev D. ↑,
85', Dzhikiya G. 🟨,
85', Tedic S. 🟨,
88', Dmitriev A. ↓, Pestryakov D. ↑,
90+1', Rocha Y. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Pinyaev S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Khosonov K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nyamsi G. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tedic S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Titkov N. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Vidosavljevic M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Babkin S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pestryakov D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 2.
Lokomotiv is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Akron have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Akron could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Lokomotiv for this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:10 (averaging 2:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 13:5 goals (averaging 2.2:0.8 per game).
Argentina
Belarus
Ecuador
South America
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Lantratov I. (G) 
Lucas Fasson 
Montes C. (C) 
Nyamsi G. 
Arevalo K. 
Escoval R. 
Nedelcearu I. (C) 
Rocha Y. 
Shumansky A. 
Vidosavljevic M. 
Bistrovic K. 
Hovhannisyan K. 
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