The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 17%
Draw 25.3%
Levski Sofia 57.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.6%
27.4%
46.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
26.4%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Plovdiv's form might have worsened.
Levski Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levski Sofia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levski Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8%
8%
84%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Levski Sofia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Levski (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Levski Sofia will win
(21 of 25 users predict this - 84%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% โ 98.37%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Levski Sofia will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Levski (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 2. Cova A. 23. Ruskov M. 5. Pavlov T. 21. Espinoza E. 22. Ivanov I. 12. Ali E. 99. Lamy J. 39. Umarbaev P. (C) 94. Itu C. 9. Perea J.
92. Vutsov S. (G) 71. Kamdem O. 50. Dimitrov K. 4. Makoun C. 3. Maicon 70. Kostadinov G. 18. Trdin G. 88. Petkov M. (C) 17. Castro F. 99. Kirilov R. 12. Sangare M.
Substitutes
11. Andreev P. 33. Atanasov M. 4. Chindris A. 13. Lucas Ryan 7. Markov I. 44. Nikolaev N. 10. Touma G. 19. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
47. Bouras A. 95. Fabien K. 78. Lukov M. (G) 10. Mitkov A. 21. Neves A. 37. Rildo 77. Rupanov B. 22. Soula M. 6. Tsunami
Coaches
Kosic D.
Velazquez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Itu C. 🟨,
15', Sangare M. 🟨,
26', Ali E. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Perea J. ⚽,
37', Ivanov I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Petkov M. 🟨,
64', Kostadinov G. ↓, Bouras A. ↑,
64', Petkov M. ↓, Soula M. ↑,
74', Kamdem O. ↓, Neves A. ↑,
74', Kirilov R. ↓, Fabien K. ↑,
76', Perea J. ↓, Andreev P. ↑,
81', Trdin G. ↓, Rildo ↑,
88', Itu C. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
88', Umarbaev P. ↓, Lucas Ryan ↑,
90+3', Milosavljevic B. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Levski is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).