Match Info

Bulgarian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Plovdiv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Lokomotiv Plovdiv		Montana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.75	5.7	Watch
	1.46	3.73	7.5
	1.47	3.92	6.56	Watch
	1.44	3.7	6.5
	1.5	4.08	6.47	Watch
	1.47	3.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)	3.82 ↑ (3.65)	6.71 ↑ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
62.3%

Draw
24%

Montana
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

25.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

19%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Plovdiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Zovko P. (G) 2. Cova A. 4. Chindris A. 23. Ruskov M. 21. Espinoza E. 12. Ali E. 22. Ivanov I. 7. Idriz S. 39. Umarbaev P. 94. Itu C. 9. Perea J.	30. Simeonov V. (G) 15. Acheampong C. 5. Mihaylov M. 20. Mrsulja A. 25. James S. 21. Iliadis I. 23. Tungarov A. 11. Vitinho 8. Atanasov P. 27. Azevedo T. 7. Dimitrov B.
Substitutes
33. Atanasov M. 14. Iliev D. 99. Lamy J. 13. Lucas Ryan 1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 44. Nikolaev N. 5. Pavlov T. 10. Touma G. 19. Velev A.	2. Beji 14. Burov D. 9. Ejike P. 17. Kokonov I. 26. Slavchev R. 24. Strinski K. 12. Veskov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Perea J. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Perea J. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Ali E. ⚽,
44', Mrsulja A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 4 - 0, Itu C. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
78', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2.

In recent matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Montana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Montana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.12.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	CSKA Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTW
- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.12.25	Botev Vratsa - Montana	0:0 ✺
02.12.25	Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Montana - Levski Sofia	1:5 ✺
09.11.25	Slavia Sofia - Montana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	0:0
28.07.25	Montana - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1
15.04.21	Montana - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:1
30.10.20	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	2:2
29.11.16	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	2:0
14.05.16	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	2:0
12.03.16	Montana - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:1

Upcoming Matches