Match Info

efbet League - Round 16

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Druzhba (Dobrich)

Referee: Davidov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Dobrudzha Dobrich		Lokomotiv Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.26	3.2	2.29
	3.22	3.1	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.45)	3.09 ↑ (3.03)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dobrudzha Dobrich
28.6%

Draw
30.1%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

30.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

29.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dobrudzha Dobrich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dobrudzha Dobrich than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Dobrudzha Dobrich - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dobrudzha Dobrich will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Grigorov G. (G) 15. Kostov B. 22. Hurtado J. 37. Kerchev V. (C) 77. Matheus Leoni 23. Fall M. 82. Costa Silva T. 8. Cardoso L. 20. Ramadan A. 7. Ivanov A. 98. Mihaylov I.	40. Zovko P. (G) 2. Cova A. 23. Ruskov M. 13. Lucas Ryan 21. Espinoza E. 22. Ivanov I. 12. Ali E. 94. Itu C. 14. Iliev D. (C) 7. Idriz S. 99. Lamy J.
Substitutes
10. Appiah A. 1. Argilashki G. (G) 31. Dimitrov A. 45. Hasan D. 30. Kurtovic A. 88. Madaleno D. 3. Pirgov D. 6. Puerto A. 27. Triki M.	16. Aleksandrov A. 11. Andreev P. 33. Atanasov M. 4. Chindris A. 1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 44. Nikolaev N. 5. Pavlov T. 10. Touma G. 19. Velev A.
Coaches
Atanasov A.	Kosic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Mihaylov I. 🟨,
24', Itu C. 🟨,
31', Cardoso L. 🟨,
34', Ruskov M. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Iliev D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ruskov M. ↓, Chindris A. ↑,
46', Ramadan A. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
46', Costa Silva T. ↓, Dimitrov A. ↑,
61', Kostov B. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Mihaylov I. ⚽,
69', Ivanov I. 🟨,
76', Itu C. ↓, Velev A. ↑,
76', Ali E. ↓, Atanasov M. ↑,
82', Lamy J. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
82', Idriz S. ↓, Andreev P. ↑,
85', Espinoza E. 🟨,
90+4', Matheus Leoni ↓, Hasan D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).

Recent performances by Dobrudzha Dobrich have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lokomotiv Plovdiv could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dobrudzha Dobrich won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dobrudzha Dobrich won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.11.25	Botev Plovdiv - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Varna	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
28.10.25	Bdin Vidin - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:7 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.10.25	Levski Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - CSKA Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLL
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Plovdiv	Botev Plovdiv awarded ✺
Bulgarian Cup
28.10.25	Dunav Ruse - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:2 ET ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
17.10.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 W?WTW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.07.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0
Bulgarian Cup
14.10.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	3:4 ET
Club Friendly
31.01.21	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0
Bulgarian Cup
20.03.14	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0
12.03.14	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:3

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