Match Info

Parva liga - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex (Plovdiv)

Referee: Kolev K. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 6


	Krumovgrad		Hebar Pazardzhik

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.1	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.7
	2.29	3	3.2	Watch
	2.28	3.04	3.38	Watch
	2.37	3.09	3.09	Watch
	2.29	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.7)	3.06 ↓ (3.37)	3.28 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krumovgrad
41.1%

Draw
30.5%

Hebar Pazardzhik
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

25.6%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krumovgrad's form might have worsened.

Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hebar Pazardzhik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krumovgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Krumovgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hebar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Krumovgrad will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgiev Y. (C) 24. Marin L. 5. Guinari P. 25. Rabotov S. 13. Isuf A. 8. Gonzalez J. 23. Fall M. 7. Tsvetanov M. 17. Dobrev K. 10. Itu C. 19. Milev N.	97. Rosa M. (G) 20. Petrovic M. 98. Markelo N. 33. Tsonkov S. 27. Mazan R. (C) 29. Zebic M. 11. Vukovic D. 21. Penchev B. 77. N'Zi J. 55. Guermouche Y. 10. Makni N.
Substitutes
22. Dost E. 91. Ivanov H. 27. Keita I. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 44. Obissa S. 99. Sellouf A. 18. Sy S. 98. Tartov G. 70. Veiga T.	17. Budinov I. 70. Dunnwald-Turan K. 15. Kondrakov D. 7. Nassar Chouiter S. 99. Paskulov D. (G) 2. Pavlek D. 88. Rusinov I. 8. Tsoumou J. 9. Ushagelov T.
Coaches
Kosev M.	Vutsov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Itu C. ⚽,
12', Tsvetanov M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dobrev K. ↓, Tartov G. ↑,
60', Vukovic D. ↓, Rusinov I. ↑,
61', Milev N. ↓, Dost E. ↑,
62', Isuf A. ↓, Sy S. ↑,
68', Tartov G. 🟨,
71', Mazan R. 🟨,
78', Penchev B. ↓, Tsoumou J. ↑,
84', Itu C. ↓, Keita I. ↑,
86', N'Zi J. ↓, Ushagelov T. ↑,
86', Guermouche Y. ↓, Kondrakov D. ↑,
89', Georgiev Y. 🟨,
90+4', Gonzalez J. ↓, Ivanov H. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Krumovgrad is Parva liga (Relegation Group )

Hebar is Parva liga (Relegation Group )

The competitors look crappy now.

Krumovgrad will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Hebar: Nikolaev N. (Yellow Cards)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Krumovgrad won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Krumovgrad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.04.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Krumovgrad	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Krumovgrad	4:1 ✺
14.03.25	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Botev Vratsa - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTTL
- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.04.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	6:1 ✺
02.03.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Cherno More Varna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.10.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad	0:0
03.04.24	Krumovgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2
02.10.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad	0:0

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