Match Info

Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia)

Referee: Velikov M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 3


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		Krumovgrad

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	8	Watch
	1.37	4.4	7.5
	1.37	4.5	7.8	Watch
	1.37	4.57	9.06
	1.37	4.57	8.46	Watch
	1.36	4.33	7.5
	1.36	4.75	8.65	Watch
	1.37	4.5	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.56)	4.55 ↑ (3.92)	8.1 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
68%

Draw
20.5%

Krumovgrad
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

23.9%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.5%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSKA 1948 Sofia's performance.

Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSKA 1948 Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - Krumovgrad Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 2 - 50%). Krumovgrad (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Krumovgrad (2.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Krumovgrad (2.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Krumovgrad (5.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: CSKA 1948 Sofia will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 2 - 25%). Krumovgrad (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marinov P. (G) 2. Johnathan 14. Ivanov T. 21. Tsenov E. (C) 30. Acheampong C. 33. Fonkeu W. 6. Eta K. 11. Cassiano 58. Boychev M. 7. Thalis 18. Dimitrov B.	1. Georgiev Y. (C) 14. Cova A. 25. Rabotov S. 24. Marin L. 7. Tsvetanov M. 13. Isuf A. 22. Dost E. 70. Veiga T. 23. Fall M. 99. Sellouf A. 10. Itu C.
Substitutes
99. Karakashev L. 17. Karamanov R. 20. Luann 26. Markov I. 3. Petkov M. 13. Sciortino P. 44. Strinski K. 34. Vitanov P. 31. Yankov M. (G)	6. Alonso I. 5. Guinari P. 91. Ivanov H. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 19. Milev N. 4. N'Guessan S. 18. Sy S. 98. Tartov G. 9. Vasilev I.
Coaches
Stoyanov I.	Kirilov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Fall M. ↓, Ivanov H. ↑,
70', Boychev M. ↓, Strinski K. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Eta K. ⚽,
76', Cova A. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Dimitrov B. ⚽,
82', Thalis ↓, Luann ↑,
86', Sellouf A. ↓, Tartov G. ↑,
86', Veiga T. ↓, Milev N. ↑,
87', Dimitrov B. 🟨,
90', Cassiano ↓, Petkov M. ↑,
90', Acheampong C. ↓, Karamanov R. ↑,

Preview

CSKA 1948 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Krumovgrad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, CSKA 1948 is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA 1948 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.05.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:0 ✺
02.05.25	Slavia Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1 ✺
28.04.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Vratsa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWL
- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.05.25	Krumovgrad - Slavia Sofia	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Botev Vratsa - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
06.05.25	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:4 ✺
01.05.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad	1:3 ✺
25.04.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.03.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Krumovgrad	4:1
04.10.24	Krumovgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1
10.12.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:3
14.08.23	Krumovgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0

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