Match Info

efbet League - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Sofia)

Referee: Stoyanov G. ()

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Slovenia	SportKlub 6


	Lokomotiv Sofia		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4	6
	1.44	4.25	6.3
	1.45	4.5	6.82
	1.43	4.15	7.63	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.8
	1.45	4.45	6.81	Watch
	1.58	3.75	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.63)	4.19 ↑ (3.6)	6.35 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Sofia
63.2%

Draw
22.2%

Spartak Varna
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.2%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Sofia's performance.

Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 3 - 60%). Spartak Varna (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Sofia will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Velichkov M. (G) 22. Daskalov R. 4. Dembele S. 91. Bidounga R. 27. Galchev P. 44. Katsarov B. (C) 5. Dost E. 2. Ali D. 13. Diego Raposo 7. Delev S. 77. Caue Caruzo	23. Kovalyov M. (G) 20. Lozev D. (C) 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 44. Granchov A. 88. Yordanov D. 19. Yanchev E. 6. Pehlivanov Z. 8. Ivanov D. 7. Berna 21. Xande 9. Halachev D.
Substitutes
29. Aralica A. 21. Chachev K. 15. Ivanov L. 8. Luann 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 3. Messi 23. Mitev H. 58. Octavio 31. Stanoev K.	77. Aleksandrov A. 4. Aleksiev I. 50. Budinov I. 39. Kurbanov K. 18. Moukachar S. 93. Pahama N. 1. Shalamanov I. (G) 22. Yanchev A.
Coaches
Genchev S.	Hadzievski G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Bidounga R. 🟨,
56', Daskalov R. 🟨,
57', Dost E. ↓, Luann ↑,
57', Caue Caruzo ↓, Aralica A. ↑,
71', Juric-Petrasilo M. 🟨,
79', Yordanov D. 🟨,
82', Ivanov D. ↓, Budinov I. ↑,
82', Ali D. ↓, Stanoev K. ↑,
82', Katsarov B. ↓, Mitev H. ↑,
84', Diego Raposo ↓, Octavio ↑,
87', Halachev D. ↓, Aleksiev I. ↑,
89', Stanoev K. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 3.

Lokomotiv Sofia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spartak Varna has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Montana	3:0 ✺
27.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1 ✺
18.07.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.1 TWWTT
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.08.25	Spartak Varna - Cherno More Varna	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Levski Sofia - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Spartak Varna - Botev Vratsa	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	CSKA Sofia - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
21.07.25	Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.03.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna	2:1
06.10.24	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:2
Bulgarian Cup
18.11.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:1 penalties
Bulgarian Parva Liga
11.03.23	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:2
27.08.22	Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna	3:2
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.08.19	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:0

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