Match Info

Parva liga - Round 3

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Varna)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Spartak Varna		Botev Vratsa

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.25
	2.52	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.71	3.15	2.79
	2.77	3.11	2.58	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.62	3.1	2.74	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (1.72)	3.21 ↓ (3.6)	2.89 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Varna
37.4%

Draw
29.6%

Botev Vratsa
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

26%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Varna's form might have worsened.

Botev Vratsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botev Vratsa's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Spartak Varna - Botev Vratsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Spartak Varna will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Varna: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Varna (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Spartak Varna (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Varna (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Kovalyov M. (G) 20. Lozev D. (C) 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 44. Granchov A. 11. Georgiev A. 19. Yanchev E. 17. Marinov T. 6. Pehlivanov Z. 7. Berna 21. Xande 9. Halachev D.	25. Evtimov D. (G) 2. Vlajkovic N. 4. Kabashi A. 36. Stoev M. 11. Achkov M. 24. Smolenski M. 8. Stoyanov A. 9. Genov D. (C) 26. Boukassi M. 97. Naydenov V. 20. Souda A.
Substitutes
77. Aleksandrov A. 4. Aleksiev I. 50. Budinov I. . Johnson K. 39. Kurbanov K. 18. Moukachar S. 1. Shalamanov I. (G) 22. Yanchev A. 88. Yordanov D.	29. Bachev M. S. 32. Dichev M. 17. Gallegos J. 70. Georgiev D. 10. Georgiev S. 14. Ivey R. 7. Penchev B. 5. Tsenov P. 1. Vasilev L. (G)
Coaches
Hadzievski G.	Yanev H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Boukassi M. 🟨,
27', Vlajkovic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Halachev D. ↓, Budinov I. ↑,
46', Boukassi M. ↓, Penchev B. ↑,
46', Vlajkovic N. ↓, Ivey R. ↑,
55', Georgiev A. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Stoyanov A. (Pen),
62', Ivey R. 🟨,
70', Pehlivanov Z. ↓, Johnson K. ↑,
70', Georgiev A. ↓, Yordanov D. ↑,
71', Smolenski M. 🟨,
76', Smolenski M. ↓, Gallegos J. ↑,
76', Souda A. ↓, Bachev M. S. ↑,
82', Yanchev E. 🟨,
86', Johnson K. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Budinov I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 2.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Botev Vratsa - the odds 4.75 are the expected chance of winning is 19.68%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.07.25	CSKA Sofia - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
21.07.25	Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.05.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna	3:1 ✺
18.05.25	Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TTLLW
- Botev Vratsa
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.07.25	Botev Vratsa - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Slavia Sofia - Botev Vratsa	2:2 ✺
29.05.25	Botev Vratsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia	2:1 ✺
20.05.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Vratsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.04.25	Spartak Varna - Botev Vratsa	1:0
13.09.24	Botev Vratsa - Spartak Varna	1:1
13.05.23	Botev Vratsa - Spartak Varna	1:1
25.02.23	Spartak Varna - Botev Vratsa	2:1
15.08.22	Botev Vratsa - Spartak Varna	1:0
Club Friendly
22.06.22	Botev Vratsa - Spartak Varna	3:0

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