Match Info

efbet League - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Varna)

Referee: Markov M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 12


	Spartak Varna		Beroe Stara Zagora

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.22	3.25	3
	2.31	3.35	3.22
	2.27	3.33	3.09	Watch
	2.2	3	3
	2.23	3.27	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.34)	3.23 ↑ (3.19)	3.1 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Varna
41.4%

Draw
28.7%

Beroe Stara Zagora
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.4%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28.4%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Spartak Varna will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Beroe will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ribeiro P. (G) 20. Lozev D. (C) 44. Granchov A. 5. Krastev D. 2. Ivanov B. 17. Marinov T. 21. Xande 10. Jota Lopes 29. Tailson 9. Chunchukov T. 90. Stojanovski G.	1. Arthur (G) 4. Costantini F. (C) 3. Salomoni J. 16. Yovkov S. 32. Varela F. 12. Valverde D. 8. Borgnino M. 24. Gavrilov S. 23. Sonha T. 9. Valbuena Y. 11. Ferrer I.
Substitutes
50. Georgiev M. 8. Ivanov D. 6. John E. 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 23. Kovalyov M. (G) 39. Kurbanov K. 18. Moukachar S. 7. Prindzhev P. 13. Tales	15. Alarcon F. 5. Caio Lopes 27. Dabo A. 17. Dual W. 22. Georgiev M. 25. Johny 6. Mitev I. 99. Quintero V. (G) 18. Rusenov S.
Coaches
Hadzievski G.	Uribe J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Ivanov B. 🟥,
14', 1 - 0, Jota Lopes ⚽,
27', Varela F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Yovkov S. ↓, Alarcon F. ↑,
46', Chunchukov T. ↓, Georgiev M. ↑,
58', Alarcon F. 🟨,
65', Gavrilov S. ↓, Caio Lopes ↑,
69', Tailson ↓, John E. ↑,
80', Varela F. ↓, Georgiev M. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Ferrer I. ⚽,
85', Marinov T. ↓, Juric-Petrasilo M. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Alarcon F. ⚽,
90+1', Borgnino M. ↓, Dual W. ↑,
90+1', Jota Lopes ↓, Ivanov D. ↑,
90+1', Stojanovski G. ↓, Prindzhev P. ↑,
90+2', Georgiev M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 0.

Spartak Varna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Beroe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Beroe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Spartak Varna will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:21. (average 0.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.4:2.2).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Spartak Varna: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10:15	-5	10

Last Results with these Odds

Beroe Stara Zagora - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.54%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.04.26	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	5:0 ✺
19.03.26	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:5 ✺
14.03.26	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLLL
- Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.04.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - CSKA Sofia	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Montana - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Levski Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.11.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna	0:0
21.07.25	Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:0
26.05.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna	3:1
10.05.25	Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:2
01.03.25	Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:3
18.10.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna	3:0
25.05.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna	1:1

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