The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotyv Kyiv 33.9%
Draw 29.5%
Feniks-Mariupol 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
27.4%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
27.3%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotyv Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotyv Kyiv's form might have worsened.
Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Feniks-Mariupol's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotyv Kyiv than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotyv Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feniks-Mariupol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Lokomotyv Kyiv - Feniks Mariupol Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lokomotyv will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Feniks-Mariupol will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Lokomotyv (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotyv (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Belimenko A. (G) 18. Garkavenko D. 17. Golovatenko A. 14. Ikenna S. 33. Myakushko S. 32. Romanenko D. 11. Sakhnenko O. 90. Savchuk P. (C) 5. Syrash M. 19. Tkachenko R. 27. Tymenko V.
1. Zhupanskyi V. (G) 15. Chornomorets O. 2. Gagun R. 5. Khakhlyov O. 11. Kucherov V. 9. Kyslenko S. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 10. Orikhovskyi P. 29. Remenyak A. 3. Sydorenko D. 33. Sydorenko V. (C)
Substitutes
23. Belytskyi D. 1. Lyopka R. (G) 47. Pushkutsa I. 6. Sabalayev A. 3. Savchenko R. 44. Titarenko T. 99. Yarmak Y. 16. Zasovitskyi I.
14. Grytsak N. 6. Gunichev Y. 7. Kovalyuk R. 17. Maletsky P. 12. Oryshchak S. (G) 22. Podolyak M. 96. Synytsya O. 21. Tsyurpalevych-Semochko K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Orikhovskyi P. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Sakhnenko O. ⚽,
40', Sakhnenko O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Remenyak A. ↓, Gunichev Y. ↑,
46', Khakhlyov O. ↓, Podolyak M. ↑,
46', Sydorenko D. ↓, Kovalyuk R. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Kucherov V. ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, Orikhovskyi P. ⚽,
53', 1 - 3, Kovalyuk R. ⚽,
58', Savchuk P. 🟨,
59', Myakushko S. 🟨,
64', Tkachenko R. ↓, Yarmak Y. ↑,
64', Ikenna S. ↓, Pushkutsa I. ↑,
67', Podolyak M. 🟨,
70', Kyslenko S. ↓, Grytsak N. ↑,
70', Romanenko D. ↓, Zasovitskyi I. ↑,
70', Garkavenko D. ↓, Savchenko R. ↑,
76', Pushkutsa I. ↓, Sabalayev A. ↑,
82', Orikhovskyi P. ↓, Maletsky P. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 13)
Lokomotyv is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Feniks-Mariupol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Lokomotyv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.