Match Info

Date: 16 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Referee: de Freitas Castro A. L. (Bra)


	Londrina		Bahia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.85	2.4
	3.15	2.7	2.45
	3.15	2.75	2.44
	3.4	2.92	2.52
	3.2	2.88	2.38
	3.08	3	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.69)	2.85 ↓ (2.99)	2.44 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
29.2%

Draw
32.6%

Bahia
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

32.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Londrina's form might have worsened.

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	52.9%	23.5%

Londrina - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Londrina: Augusto (Injury) Cacho P. (Injury) Mossoro (Injury) Samuel Santos (Injury) Victor Souza (Injury)

There will not play in Bahia: Didi (Red Card) Luiz Otavio (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Londrina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
12.08.22	Vila Nova - Londrina	0:0 ✺
09.08.22	Londrina - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
06.08.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina	0:1 ✺
30.07.22	Londrina - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
23.07.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Londrina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TLWTW
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
12.08.22	Bahia - Ituano	2:0 ✺
09.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Bahia	2:0 ✺
06.08.22	Bahia - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
29.07.22	Bahia - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0 ✺
23.07.22	Cruzeiro - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.05.22	Bahia - Londrina	4:0
Copa do Brasil
25.04.19	Londrina - Bahia	2:1
18.04.19	Bahia - Londrina	4:0
Brazilian Serie B
04.10.16	Londrina - Bahia	1:0
18.06.16	Bahia - Londrina	1:2

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