The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bahia 55.5%
Draw 28.2%
CS Alagoano 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.5%
29.1%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.8%
27.9%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Bahia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.2%
5.9%
5.9%
Bahia - CS Alagoano Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 2.
Recent matches Bahia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
CSA is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Bahia is a favorite.
There will not play in CSA: Cedric
(Injury)
Clayton
(Injury)
Ernandes
(Injury)
Tonini G. A.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Bahia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
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