Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)


	Bahia		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.3	5.5
	1.63	3.2	5.75
	1.67	3.3	5.2
	1.71	3.41	6.32
	1.7	3.2	5.8
	1.68	3.4	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)	3.3 ↑ (3.18)	5.69 ↓ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
55.5%

Draw
28.2%

CS Alagoano
16.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

29.1%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

27.6%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bahia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Bahia - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: Bahia will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 2.

Recent matches Bahia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSA is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bahia is a favorite.

There will not play in CSA: Cedric (Injury) Clayton (Injury) Ernandes (Injury) Tonini G. A. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bahia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
29.07.22	Bahia - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0 ✺
23.07.22	Cruzeiro - Bahia	1:0 ✺
19.07.22	Bahia - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	Guarani - Bahia	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.07.22	Athletico Paranaense - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTWL
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
30.07.22	CS Alagoano - Ituano	1:3 ✺
25.07.22	Criciúma - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
20.07.22	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
15.07.22	Vila Nova - CS Alagoano	1:2 ✺
07.07.22	CS Alagoano - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.04.22	CS Alagoano - Bahia	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
16.02.22	Bahia - CS Alagoano	1:1
23.03.21	CS Alagoano - Bahia	2:0
19.02.20	CS Alagoano - Bahia	0:2
Brazilian Serie A
01.12.19	CS Alagoano - Bahia	1:2
31.08.19	Bahia - CS Alagoano	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.14	Bahia - CS Alagoano	1:0

Bahia - CS Alagoano